GLD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+5.18%
Year to Date Return
$14,212.36
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$13,512.70
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
51
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
51.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 50.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-42 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,499
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,512.70
Current Value
$14,212.36
Period P&L
$699.66
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
15 /
28
Best Trade
+8.02%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,158,049.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$699.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$699.66
Gross Return
+5.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,512.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $397.46 | 33 | $13,116.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $397.02 | 33 | $13,101.66 | $13,498.18 |
$-14.52 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $408.72 | 33 | $13,487.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $408.30 | 33 | $13,473.90 | $13,484.32 |
$-13.86 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $410.50 | 32 | $13,136.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $409.33 | 32 | $13,098.56 | $13,446.88 |
$-37.44 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $409.79 | 32 | $13,113.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $413.49 | 32 | $13,231.56 | $13,565.16 |
+$118.28 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $424.25 | 31 | $13,151.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:00pm ET | $423.27 | 31 | $13,121.37 | $13,534.78 |
$-30.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.64 | 31 | $13,194.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $423.59 | 31 | $13,131.29 | $13,471.39 |
$-63.40 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $424.08 | 31 | $13,146.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $424.21 | 31 | $13,150.51 | $13,475.42 |
+$4.03 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $434.86 | 30 | $13,045.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $436.62 | 30 | $13,098.60 | $13,528.22 |
+$52.80 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $443.42 | 30 | $13,302.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $456.98 | 30 | $13,709.40 | $13,935.17 |
+$406.95 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $464.73 | 29 | $13,477.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $466.83 | 29 | $13,538.07 | $13,996.07 |
+$60.90 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $486.62 | 28 | $13,625.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $485.63 | 28 | $13,597.64 | $13,968.35 |
$-27.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $491.37 | 28 | $13,758.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.51 | 28 | $13,146.21 | $13,356.20 |
$-612.15 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $431.50 | 30 | $12,945.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $427.58 | 30 | $12,827.40 | $13,238.60 |
$-117.60 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $452.65 | 29 | $13,126.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $450.77 | 29 | $13,072.19 | $13,183.93 |
$-54.66 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $447.53 | 29 | $12,978.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $446.67 | 29 | $12,953.50 | $13,159.06 |
$-24.87 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $456.02 | 28 | $12,768.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $455.42 | 28 | $12,751.76 | $13,142.29 |
$-16.77 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $462.98 | 28 | $12,963.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $461.60 | 28 | $12,924.80 | $13,103.65 |
$-38.64 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $466.99 | 28 | $13,075.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $466.92 | 28 | $13,073.90 | $13,101.83 |
$-1.82 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $455.83 | 28 | $12,763.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $458.77 | 28 | $12,845.56 | $13,184.01 |
+$82.18 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $458.35 | 28 | $12,833.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.94 | 28 | $13,158.32 | $13,508.53 |
+$324.52 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $478.47 | 28 | $13,397.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $475.41 | 28 | $13,311.57 | $13,422.94 |
$-85.59 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $481.05 | 27 | $12,988.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $480.51 | 27 | $12,973.77 | $13,408.36 |
$-14.58 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.60 | 28 | $13,288.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $471.13 | 28 | $13,191.64 | $13,311.20 |
$-97.16 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $466.63 | 28 | $13,065.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $473.58 | 28 | $13,260.24 | $13,505.94 |
+$194.74 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $475.75 | 28 | $13,321.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $474.65 | 28 | $13,290.34 | $13,475.28 |
$-30.66 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $469.15 | 28 | $13,136.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $467.80 | 28 | $13,098.40 | $13,437.48 |
$-37.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $459.49 | 29 | $13,325.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $460.18 | 29 | $13,345.22 | $13,457.49 |
+$20.01 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $448.46 | 30 | $13,453.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $448.21 | 30 | $13,446.30 | $13,449.99 |
$-7.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $422.72 | 31 | $13,104.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $420.21 | 31 | $13,026.66 | $13,372.33 |
$-77.66 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $405.08 | 33 | $13,367.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $404.39 | 33 | $13,344.87 | $13,349.73 |
$-22.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $419.18 | 31 | $12,994.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $417.81 | 31 | $12,952.11 | $13,307.26 |
$-42.47 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $405.80 | 32 | $12,985.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $438.34 | 32 | $14,026.88 | $14,348.38 |
+$1,041.12 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $428.32 | 33 | $14,134.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $428.60 | 33 | $14,143.85 | $14,357.67 |
+$9.29 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $426.72 | 33 | $14,081.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $428.30 | 33 | $14,134.02 | $14,409.93 |
+$52.26 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.61 | 33 | $14,408.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $439.21 | 33 | $14,493.93 | $14,495.73 |
+$85.80 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $437.83 | 33 | $14,448.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $443.02 | 33 | $14,619.66 | $14,667.00 |
+$171.27 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $441.71 | 33 | $14,576.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $440.67 | 33 | $14,542.11 | $14,632.68 |
$-34.32 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $446.86 | 32 | $14,299.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $441.87 | 32 | $14,139.84 | $14,473.00 |
$-159.68 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $435.54 | 33 | $14,372.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $434.14 | 33 | $14,326.62 | $14,426.80 |
$-46.20 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $434.75 | 33 | $14,346.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $433.50 | 33 | $14,305.50 | $14,385.55 |
$-41.25 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $421.84 | 34 | $14,342.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.63 | 34 | $14,165.42 | $14,208.41 |
$-177.14 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $425.17 | 33 | $14,030.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $425.53 | 33 | $14,042.49 | $14,220.29 |
+$11.88 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $430.15 | 33 | $14,194.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $429.91 | 33 | $14,187.02 | $14,212.36 |
$-7.93 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,212.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,212.36
Total Return:
+42.12%