HOOD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
-2.50%
Year to Date Return
$16,419.73
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$16,840.55
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
33.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 33.3
30-Day Momentum
38
+8.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,361
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,840.55
Current Value
$16,419.73
Period P&L
$-420.80
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
14 /
26
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,273,533.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-420.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-420.80
Gross Return
-2.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $16,840.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $122.24 | 137 | $16,746.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $121.99 | 137 | $16,712.64 | $16,806.28 |
$-34.24 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $119.60 | 140 | $16,744.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $118.94 | 140 | $16,651.74 | $16,714.02 |
$-92.26 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.70 | 142 | $16,713.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $115.29 | 142 | $16,371.18 | $16,371.80 |
$-342.22 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $117.88 | 138 | $16,267.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.54 | 138 | $16,220.52 | $16,324.88 |
$-46.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $118.90 | 137 | $16,288.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $118.09 | 137 | $16,177.96 | $16,214.22 |
$-110.67 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $108.85 | 148 | $16,109.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $109.42 | 148 | $16,194.16 | $16,298.58 |
+$84.36 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.72 | 152 | $16,221.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $106.51 | 152 | $16,189.52 | $16,266.66 |
$-31.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.09 | 151 | $16,170.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $108.93 | 151 | $16,448.43 | $16,544.50 |
+$277.84 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $108.97 | 151 | $16,454.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $106.92 | 151 | $16,144.92 | $16,234.95 |
$-309.55 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $104.70 | 155 | $16,228.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $104.44 | 155 | $16,187.43 | $16,193.87 |
$-41.08 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.25 | 159 | $16,098.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $101.83 | 159 | $16,191.51 | $16,286.63 |
+$92.76 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $86.27 | 188 | $16,219.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.66 | 188 | $15,540.16 | $15,607.52 |
$-679.11 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $77.10 | 202 | $15,574.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $75.71 | 202 | $15,292.41 | $15,325.73 |
$-281.79 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $82.82 | 185 | $15,322.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.54 | 185 | $16,194.90 | $16,198.01 |
+$872.28 (+5.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $75.26 | 215 | $16,180.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $76.76 | 215 | $16,503.23 | $16,520.32 |
+$322.31 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $76.38 | 216 | $16,498.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $75.94 | 216 | $16,403.04 | $16,425.28 |
$-95.04 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $71.96 | 228 | $16,406.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $73.01 | 228 | $16,646.28 | $16,664.68 |
+$239.40 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.70 | 214 | $16,628.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $77.37 | 214 | $16,557.18 | $16,593.10 |
$-71.58 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $75.40 | 220 | $16,588.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.49 | 220 | $16,166.70 | $16,171.80 |
$-421.30 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $75.72 | 213 | $16,128.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $76.39 | 213 | $16,271.07 | $16,314.51 |
+$142.71 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $79.62 | 204 | $16,242.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.99 | 204 | $15,909.96 | $15,981.99 |
$-332.52 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $77.23 | 206 | $15,909.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $77.19 | 206 | $15,902.17 | $15,974.78 |
$-7.21 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.59 | 200 | $15,918.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.17 | 200 | $15,434.00 | $15,490.78 |
$-484.00 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.08 | 206 | $15,466.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $75.05 | 206 | $15,460.30 | $15,484.60 |
$-6.18 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $75.79 | 204 | $15,461.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $75.48 | 204 | $15,397.92 | $15,421.36 |
$-63.24 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.90 | 214 | $15,386.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $71.88 | 214 | $15,382.32 | $15,417.08 |
$-4.28 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.05 | 213 | $15,346.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $72.92 | 213 | $15,531.96 | $15,602.39 |
+$185.31 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $70.25 | 222 | $15,595.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 222 | $15,260.28 | $15,267.17 |
$-335.22 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $67.33 | 226 | $15,216.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $66.25 | 226 | $14,972.50 | $15,022.98 |
$-244.19 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $69.01 | 217 | $14,974.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $69.74 | 217 | $15,133.58 | $15,181.93 |
+$158.95 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $73.26 | 207 | $15,164.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.95 | 207 | $14,479.65 | $14,496.76 |
$-685.17 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $69.89 | 207 | $14,467.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.21 | 207 | $14,118.44 | $14,147.97 |
$-348.79 (-2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.39 | 180 | $14,110.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $85.13 | 180 | $15,322.50 | $15,360.27 |
+$1,212.30 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $86.43 | 177 | $15,298.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $91.79 | 177 | $16,246.83 | $16,308.99 |
+$948.72 (+6.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $90.13 | 180 | $16,223.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $89.60 | 180 | $16,128.00 | $16,213.57 |
$-95.42 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.40 | 183 | $16,178.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $88.56 | 183 | $16,206.48 | $16,241.93 |
+$28.36 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.72 | 191 | $16,181.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $83.40 | 191 | $15,930.35 | $15,990.76 |
$-251.17 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $82.05 | 194 | $15,917.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $82.22 | 194 | $15,950.68 | $16,023.74 |
+$32.98 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $72.85 | 219 | $15,954.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $74.69 | 219 | $16,357.11 | $16,426.09 |
+$402.35 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $77.23 | 212 | $16,372.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $77.20 | 212 | $16,366.40 | $16,419.73 |
$-6.36 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,419.73
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,419.73
Total Return:
+64.20%