ISRG Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+0.55%
Year to Date Return
$10,615.79
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,558.34
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
14.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 14.5
30-Day Momentum
7
+0.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.8
Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,235
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,558.34
Current Value
$10,615.79
Period P&L
$57.56
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+3.76%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
11.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$838,107.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$57.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$57.56
Gross Return
+0.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,558.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $558.98 | 18 | $10,061.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $564.76 | 18 | $10,165.68 | $10,662.28 |
+$104.04 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $590.92 | 18 | $10,636.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $600.24 | 18 | $10,804.23 | $10,829.95 |
+$167.67 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $586.51 | 18 | $10,557.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $584.00 | 18 | $10,512.00 | $10,784.77 |
$-45.18 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $572.18 | 18 | $10,299.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $569.72 | 18 | $10,254.96 | $10,740.47 |
$-44.30 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $540.59 | 19 | $10,271.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $545.33 | 19 | $10,361.18 | $10,830.44 |
+$89.97 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $538.36 | 20 | $10,767.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $536.37 | 20 | $10,727.30 | $10,790.54 |
$-39.90 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $523.65 | 20 | $10,472.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $530.15 | 20 | $10,602.90 | $10,920.54 |
+$130.00 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $524.95 | 20 | $10,498.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $520.71 | 20 | $10,414.20 | $10,835.84 |
$-84.70 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $525.93 | 20 | $10,518.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $525.00 | 20 | $10,499.90 | $10,817.14 |
$-18.70 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $504.81 | 21 | $10,601.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $506.44 | 21 | $10,635.14 | $10,851.26 |
+$34.13 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $498.06 | 21 | $10,459.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $496.73 | 21 | $10,431.33 | $10,823.33 |
$-27.93 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $477.99 | 22 | $10,515.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $475.23 | 22 | $10,454.95 | $10,762.51 |
$-60.83 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.86 | 22 | $10,688.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $487.64 | 22 | $10,728.08 | $10,801.78 |
+$39.27 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $492.51 | 21 | $10,342.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $492.74 | 21 | $10,347.54 | $10,806.60 |
+$4.83 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $494.53 | 21 | $10,385.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $494.58 | 21 | $10,386.28 | $10,807.75 |
+$1.15 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $491.96 | 21 | $10,331.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $490.45 | 21 | $10,299.45 | $10,776.04 |
$-31.71 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $501.63 | 21 | $10,534.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $500.27 | 21 | $10,505.57 | $10,747.48 |
$-28.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $502.01 | 21 | $10,542.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $500.29 | 21 | $10,505.99 | $10,711.25 |
$-36.23 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $489.93 | 21 | $10,288.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $489.25 | 21 | $10,274.25 | $10,696.92 |
$-14.33 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $502.17 | 21 | $10,545.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $501.39 | 21 | $10,529.19 | $10,680.54 |
$-16.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $492.32 | 21 | $10,338.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $491.79 | 21 | $10,327.59 | $10,669.41 |
$-11.13 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $485.64 | 21 | $10,198.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $485.89 | 21 | $10,203.79 | $10,674.66 |
+$5.25 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $490.02 | 21 | $10,290.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $486.61 | 21 | $10,218.81 | $10,603.13 |
$-71.53 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $479.97 | 22 | $10,559.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $479.06 | 22 | $10,539.32 | $10,583.09 |
$-20.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.56 | 22 | $10,528.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $481.36 | 22 | $10,590.03 | $10,644.80 |
+$61.71 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $487.59 | 21 | $10,239.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $486.54 | 21 | $10,217.34 | $10,622.75 |
$-22.05 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $481.14 | 22 | $10,584.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $479.27 | 22 | $10,543.99 | $10,581.77 |
$-40.98 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.14 | 21 | $10,251.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $480.86 | 21 | $10,098.06 | $10,428.78 |
$-152.99 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $472.47 | 22 | $10,394.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $471.55 | 22 | $10,374.16 | $10,408.60 |
$-20.18 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $455.79 | 22 | $10,027.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $466.10 | 22 | $10,254.20 | $10,635.53 |
+$226.93 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $454.33 | 23 | $10,449.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $453.36 | 23 | $10,427.28 | $10,613.10 |
$-22.43 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $450.35 | 23 | $10,358.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $450.58 | 23 | $10,363.23 | $10,618.28 |
+$5.18 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $451.48 | 23 | $10,384.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $468.46 | 23 | $10,774.69 | $11,008.93 |
+$390.65 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $456.60 | 24 | $10,958.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $455.55 | 24 | $10,933.20 | $10,983.73 |
$-25.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $470.11 | 23 | $10,812.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $469.02 | 23 | $10,787.46 | $10,958.66 |
$-25.07 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $456.07 | 24 | $10,945.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $455.00 | 24 | $10,920.00 | $10,932.98 |
$-25.68 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $486.29 | 22 | $10,698.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $484.35 | 22 | $10,655.70 | $10,890.41 |
$-42.57 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $467.64 | 23 | $10,755.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $460.00 | 23 | $10,580.00 | $10,714.69 |
$-175.72 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $460.11 | 23 | $10,582.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $458.39 | 23 | $10,542.97 | $10,675.13 |
$-39.56 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $450.00 | 23 | $10,350.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.42 | 23 | $10,290.66 | $10,615.79 |
$-59.34 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,615.79
Net Profit/Loss:
+$615.79
Total Return:
+6.16%