IWM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-0.18%
Year to Date Return
$11,424.98
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$11,445.04
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
23.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 23.1
30-Day Momentum
39
+4.0%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.3
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,484
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,445.04
Current Value
$11,424.98
Period P&L
$-20.07
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
13 /
30
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$949,421.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20.07
Gross Return
-0.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,445.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $253.45 | 45 | $11,405.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $252.64 | 45 | $11,368.80 | $11,408.59 |
$-36.45 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $255.51 | 44 | $11,242.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $255.12 | 44 | $11,225.28 | $11,391.43 |
$-17.16 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $258.44 | 44 | $11,371.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $258.14 | 44 | $11,358.16 | $11,378.23 |
$-13.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $260.17 | 43 | $11,187.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $260.99 | 43 | $11,222.57 | $11,413.49 |
+$35.26 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $261.63 | 43 | $11,250.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $261.13 | 43 | $11,228.59 | $11,391.99 |
$-21.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $266.45 | 42 | $11,190.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $265.09 | 42 | $11,133.57 | $11,334.66 |
$-57.33 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $264.25 | 42 | $11,098.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $263.90 | 42 | $11,083.80 | $11,319.96 |
$-14.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $264.62 | 42 | $11,113.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $270.75 | 42 | $11,371.50 | $11,577.63 |
+$257.67 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $265.73 | 43 | $11,426.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $264.50 | 43 | $11,373.29 | $11,524.53 |
$-53.10 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $264.18 | 43 | $11,359.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $263.57 | 43 | $11,333.30 | $11,498.09 |
$-26.45 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:15pm ET | $263.81 | 43 | $11,343.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $263.52 | 43 | $11,331.36 | $11,485.62 |
$-12.47 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $259.96 | 44 | $11,438.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $259.12 | 44 | $11,401.28 | $11,448.66 |
$-36.96 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $264.06 | 43 | $11,354.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $262.79 | 43 | $11,299.97 | $11,394.05 |
$-54.61 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $259.33 | 43 | $11,151.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $258.26 | 43 | $11,104.97 | $11,347.82 |
$-46.22 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $265.11 | 42 | $11,134.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $266.61 | 42 | $11,197.62 | $11,411.04 |
+$63.21 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.50 | 42 | $11,277.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $265.97 | 42 | $11,170.74 | $11,304.78 |
$-106.26 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $262.51 | 43 | $11,287.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $261.38 | 43 | $11,239.34 | $11,256.19 |
$-48.59 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $265.68 | 42 | $11,158.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $262.56 | 42 | $11,027.52 | $11,125.08 |
$-131.11 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $264.37 | 42 | $11,103.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.21 | 42 | $11,054.82 | $11,076.36 |
$-48.72 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $263.55 | 42 | $11,069.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $263.08 | 42 | $11,049.57 | $11,056.83 |
$-19.53 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $264.97 | 41 | $10,863.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.39 | 41 | $10,757.99 | $10,951.05 |
$-105.78 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $257.14 | 42 | $10,799.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $261.55 | 42 | $10,985.31 | $11,136.48 |
+$185.43 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $255.90 | 43 | $11,003.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 43 | $10,802.03 | $10,934.81 |
$-201.67 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $247.88 | 44 | $10,906.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $247.38 | 44 | $10,884.72 | $10,912.81 |
$-22.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $253.90 | 42 | $10,664.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $252.23 | 42 | $10,593.66 | $10,842.46 |
$-70.35 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $248.75 | 43 | $10,696.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $248.18 | 43 | $10,671.95 | $10,818.16 |
$-24.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $246.55 | 43 | $10,601.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $245.98 | 43 | $10,577.14 | $10,793.65 |
$-24.51 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $249.91 | 43 | $10,746.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $249.98 | 43 | $10,749.14 | $10,796.45 |
+$2.80 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $245.83 | 43 | $10,570.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $245.19 | 43 | $10,543.17 | $10,768.93 |
$-27.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.68 | 43 | $10,607.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $247.73 | 43 | $10,652.39 | $10,814.08 |
+$45.15 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $248.61 | 43 | $10,690.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $248.67 | 43 | $10,692.81 | $10,816.66 |
+$2.58 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $251.31 | 43 | $10,806.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $245.47 | 43 | $10,555.21 | $10,565.54 |
$-251.12 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.51 | 43 | $10,470.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $251.67 | 43 | $10,821.81 | $10,916.42 |
+$350.88 (+3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $250.16 | 43 | $10,756.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $251.68 | 43 | $10,822.24 | $10,981.78 |
+$65.36 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $252.06 | 43 | $10,838.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $251.40 | 43 | $10,810.20 | $10,953.40 |
$-28.38 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $260.06 | 42 | $10,922.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $261.80 | 42 | $10,995.60 | $11,026.48 |
+$73.08 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $268.71 | 41 | $11,017.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $268.64 | 41 | $11,014.24 | $11,023.41 |
$-3.07 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $269.32 | 40 | $10,772.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $276.10 | 40 | $11,044.00 | $11,294.61 |
+$271.20 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $275.68 | 40 | $11,027.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $276.08 | 40 | $11,043.20 | $11,310.41 |
+$15.80 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $275.68 | 41 | $11,302.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $274.46 | 41 | $11,252.86 | $11,260.39 |
$-50.02 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $276.88 | 40 | $11,075.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $276.70 | 40 | $11,067.80 | $11,252.99 |
$-7.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $273.74 | 41 | $11,223.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $278.25 | 41 | $11,408.25 | $11,437.90 |
+$184.91 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $277.86 | 41 | $11,392.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $277.54 | 41 | $11,379.14 | $11,424.98 |
$-12.92 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,424.98
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,424.98
Total Return:
+14.25%