JNJ Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+2.07%
Year to Date Return
$9,769.28
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,571.15
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
18
+1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,231
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,571.15
Current Value
$9,769.28
Period P&L
$198.17
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+1.93%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
20.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$730,375.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$198.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$198.17
Gross Return
+2.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,571.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $206.93 | 46 | $9,518.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.23 | 46 | $9,394.58 | $9,446.91 |
$-124.20 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $205.87 | 45 | $9,264.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $205.34 | 45 | $9,240.08 | $9,422.84 |
$-24.07 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $206.90 | 45 | $9,310.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $207.41 | 45 | $9,333.45 | $9,445.88 |
+$23.04 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $205.46 | 45 | $9,245.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $205.15 | 45 | $9,231.75 | $9,432.15 |
$-13.73 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.47 | 43 | $9,222.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $217.00 | 43 | $9,331.00 | $9,540.94 |
+$108.79 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $219.60 | 43 | $9,442.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $218.85 | 43 | $9,410.34 | $9,508.48 |
$-32.46 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $217.62 | 43 | $9,357.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $217.40 | 43 | $9,348.20 | $9,499.23 |
$-9.25 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $217.27 | 43 | $9,342.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $219.61 | 43 | $9,443.23 | $9,600.07 |
+$100.84 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $218.79 | 43 | $9,407.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $220.95 | 43 | $9,500.85 | $9,692.95 |
+$92.88 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.24 | 42 | $9,543.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $227.40 | 42 | $9,550.59 | $9,699.67 |
+$6.72 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $227.65 | 42 | $9,561.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $227.23 | 42 | $9,543.66 | $9,682.03 |
$-17.64 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $229.00 | 42 | $9,618.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $233.26 | 42 | $9,797.13 | $9,861.16 |
+$179.13 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.46 | 41 | $9,694.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $237.91 | 41 | $9,754.24 | $9,920.75 |
+$59.59 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $239.43 | 41 | $9,816.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.95 | 41 | $9,796.95 | $9,900.86 |
$-19.89 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $238.93 | 41 | $9,795.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $238.53 | 41 | $9,779.73 | $9,884.66 |
$-16.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:30pm ET | $242.99 | 40 | $9,719.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $243.36 | 40 | $9,734.40 | $9,899.46 |
+$14.80 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:25pm ET | $245.35 | 40 | $9,814.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $245.71 | 40 | $9,828.52 | $9,913.98 |
+$14.52 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $246.59 | 40 | $9,863.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.95 | 40 | $9,797.80 | $9,848.00 |
$-65.98 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $243.56 | 40 | $9,742.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $248.26 | 40 | $9,930.20 | $10,035.80 |
+$187.80 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $246.20 | 40 | $9,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.63 | 40 | $9,825.00 | $10,012.80 |
$-23.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $237.33 | 42 | $9,967.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $236.70 | 42 | $9,941.40 | $9,986.34 |
$-26.46 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:20pm ET | $242.78 | 41 | $9,953.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $241.74 | 41 | $9,911.48 | $9,943.83 |
$-42.51 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $245.06 | 40 | $9,802.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $243.82 | 40 | $9,752.80 | $9,894.27 |
$-49.56 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $242.82 | 40 | $9,712.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $237.71 | 40 | $9,508.40 | $9,689.87 |
$-204.40 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $237.70 | 40 | $9,508.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $236.00 | 40 | $9,440.00 | $9,621.87 |
$-68.00 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $235.62 | 40 | $9,424.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 40 | $9,337.20 | $9,534.27 |
$-87.60 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.76 | 40 | $9,470.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $240.66 | 40 | $9,626.40 | $9,690.27 |
+$156.00 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $241.30 | 40 | $9,652.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $241.35 | 40 | $9,654.00 | $9,692.27 |
+$2.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.15 | 39 | $9,482.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $242.57 | 39 | $9,460.23 | $9,669.85 |
$-22.42 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $238.80 | 40 | $9,552.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $243.08 | 40 | $9,723.20 | $9,841.05 |
+$171.20 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $237.73 | 41 | $9,746.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $236.56 | 41 | $9,698.96 | $9,793.08 |
$-47.97 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $234.85 | 41 | $9,628.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $234.85 | 41 | $9,628.85 | $9,793.29 |
+$0.21 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $225.85 | 43 | $9,711.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $225.33 | 43 | $9,689.19 | $9,770.93 |
$-22.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $228.26 | 42 | $9,586.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $227.71 | 42 | $9,563.82 | $9,747.83 |
$-23.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $225.74 | 43 | $9,707.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $225.50 | 43 | $9,696.50 | $9,737.30 |
$-10.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $226.24 | 43 | $9,728.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $227.64 | 43 | $9,788.52 | $9,797.71 |
+$60.41 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $229.63 | 42 | $9,644.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $229.24 | 42 | $9,628.08 | $9,781.54 |
$-16.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $225.07 | 43 | $9,678.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $224.79 | 43 | $9,665.97 | $9,769.28 |
$-12.26 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,769.28
Net Profit/Loss:
$-230.72
Total Return:
-2.31%