JPM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
-2.32%
Year to Date Return
$12,137.82
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$12,426.07
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
25.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 24.5
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.5%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,566
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,426.07
Current Value
$12,137.82
Period P&L
$-288.23
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
11 /
30
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$977,452.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-288.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-288.23
Gross Return
-2.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,426.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $336.27 | 36 | $12,105.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $336.04 | 36 | $12,097.44 | $12,417.76 |
$-8.28 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $327.69 | 37 | $12,124.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $326.44 | 37 | $12,078.24 | $12,371.46 |
$-46.29 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $330.72 | 37 | $12,236.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $330.35 | 37 | $12,222.95 | $12,357.77 |
$-13.69 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $322.55 | 38 | $12,256.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $320.55 | 38 | $12,180.81 | $12,281.77 |
$-76.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $308.58 | 39 | $12,034.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $307.96 | 39 | $12,010.44 | $12,257.79 |
$-23.99 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $312.42 | 39 | $12,184.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $314.55 | 39 | $12,267.45 | $12,340.86 |
+$83.07 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $304.72 | 40 | $12,188.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $303.53 | 40 | $12,141.20 | $12,293.46 |
$-47.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $298.12 | 41 | $12,222.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $300.38 | 41 | $12,315.58 | $12,386.12 |
+$92.66 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $299.44 | 41 | $12,276.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $298.52 | 41 | $12,239.32 | $12,348.60 |
$-37.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $304.89 | 40 | $12,195.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.61 | 40 | $12,144.20 | $12,297.20 |
$-51.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.86 | 39 | $12,162.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $313.45 | 39 | $12,224.36 | $12,359.03 |
+$61.82 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $317.30 | 38 | $12,057.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.46 | 38 | $11,797.48 | $12,098.92 |
$-260.11 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $325.43 | 37 | $12,040.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $324.35 | 37 | $12,000.95 | $12,058.96 |
$-39.96 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $318.27 | 37 | $11,775.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $317.08 | 37 | $11,731.96 | $12,014.93 |
$-44.03 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.68 | 39 | $11,843.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $305.43 | 39 | $11,911.77 | $12,082.98 |
+$68.05 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $309.03 | 39 | $12,052.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $306.56 | 39 | $11,955.84 | $11,986.65 |
$-96.33 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $297.58 | 40 | $11,903.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.65 | 40 | $11,826.20 | $11,909.65 |
$-77.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.73 | 39 | $11,884.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $305.36 | 39 | $11,909.23 | $11,934.41 |
+$24.76 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $296.65 | 40 | $11,866.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $296.14 | 40 | $11,845.60 | $11,914.01 |
$-20.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $299.23 | 39 | $11,669.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $297.96 | 39 | $11,620.44 | $11,864.67 |
$-49.34 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $283.60 | 41 | $11,627.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $284.00 | 41 | $11,644.00 | $11,881.07 |
+$16.40 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $287.00 | 41 | $11,767.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $286.07 | 41 | $11,728.87 | $11,842.91 |
$-38.16 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $281.80 | 42 | $11,835.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $285.05 | 42 | $11,972.10 | $11,979.52 |
+$136.61 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $285.86 | 41 | $11,720.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $285.62 | 41 | $11,710.42 | $11,969.68 |
$-9.84 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $287.63 | 41 | $11,792.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET | $287.21 | 41 | $11,775.61 | $11,952.46 |
$-17.22 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:25pm ET | $285.98 | 41 | $11,725.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $287.17 | 41 | $11,774.17 | $12,001.45 |
+$48.99 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $291.92 | 41 | $11,968.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $291.41 | 41 | $11,947.81 | $11,980.54 |
$-20.91 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.93 | 40 | $11,797.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $293.36 | 40 | $11,734.40 | $11,917.74 |
$-62.80 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $292.05 | 40 | $11,681.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $291.64 | 40 | $11,665.60 | $11,901.54 |
$-16.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.33 | 41 | $11,821.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $294.42 | 41 | $12,071.38 | $12,151.19 |
+$249.65 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $294.31 | 41 | $12,066.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $293.25 | 41 | $12,023.25 | $12,107.73 |
$-43.46 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $295.65 | 40 | $11,826.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $294.99 | 40 | $11,799.60 | $12,081.33 |
$-26.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $307.32 | 39 | $11,985.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $306.94 | 39 | $11,970.66 | $12,066.51 |
$-14.82 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $309.66 | 38 | $11,767.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.47 | 38 | $11,683.86 | $11,983.29 |
$-83.22 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $312.83 | 38 | $11,887.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $311.37 | 38 | $11,832.06 | $11,927.62 |
$-55.67 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $306.00 | 38 | $11,627.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $305.44 | 38 | $11,606.72 | $11,906.43 |
$-21.19 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $313.40 | 37 | $11,595.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $316.66 | 37 | $11,716.42 | $12,027.05 |
+$120.62 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $312.87 | 38 | $11,889.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.94 | 38 | $11,815.72 | $11,953.71 |
$-73.34 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET | $308.70 | 38 | $11,730.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $308.24 | 38 | $11,713.12 | $11,936.04 |
$-17.67 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $313.37 | 38 | $11,908.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $313.25 | 38 | $11,903.50 | $11,931.48 |
$-4.56 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $309.61 | 38 | $11,765.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.04 | 38 | $11,971.52 | $12,137.82 |
+$206.34 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,137.82
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,137.82
Total Return:
+21.38%