LCID Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
+38.14%
Year to Date Return
$19,099.03
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$13,825.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.3/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
38.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.8
30-Day Momentum
60
+17.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.7
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,591
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,825.78
Current Value
$19,099.03
Period P&L
$5,273.21
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
15 /
27
Best Trade
+13.48%
Worst Trade
-4.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
13.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,296,002.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,273.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,273.21
Gross Return
+38.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,825.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.83 | 1,276 | $13,819.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $10.91 | 1,276 | $13,914.78 | $13,921.53 |
+$95.70 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $11.61 | 1,199 | $13,920.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.72 | 1,199 | $14,046.29 | $14,047.43 |
+$125.90 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $11.10 | 1,266 | $14,046.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $11.02 | 1,266 | $13,944.99 | $13,946.15 |
$-101.28 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.44 | 1,219 | $13,939.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $11.37 | 1,219 | $13,853.94 | $13,860.82 |
$-85.33 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $11.32 | 1,224 | $13,855.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $11.23 | 1,224 | $13,739.40 | $13,744.54 |
$-116.28 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $10.97 | 1,253 | $13,739.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $10.90 | 1,253 | $13,662.21 | $13,667.60 |
$-76.93 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.86 | 1,259 | $13,666.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.63 | 1,259 | $13,383.17 | $13,384.33 |
$-283.28 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $10.10 | 1,325 | $13,382.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $10.05 | 1,325 | $13,309.63 | $13,311.45 |
$-72.87 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $9.74 | 1,366 | $13,304.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.60 | 1,366 | $14,472.77 | $14,479.52 |
+$1,168.07 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $11.17 | 1,296 | $14,469.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.01 | 1,296 | $14,268.05 | $14,277.73 |
$-201.79 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.82 | 1,319 | $14,271.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $10.73 | 1,319 | $14,155.38 | $14,161.53 |
$-116.20 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $11.22 | 1,262 | $14,153.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.94 | 1,262 | $13,806.28 | $13,814.48 |
$-347.05 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $11.24 | 1,229 | $13,807.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.99 | 1,229 | $13,503.15 | $13,509.81 |
$-304.67 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $10.80 | 1,251 | $13,504.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $10.72 | 1,251 | $13,404.47 | $13,409.73 |
$-100.08 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.36 | 1,294 | $13,405.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $10.23 | 1,294 | $13,237.62 | $13,241.51 |
$-168.22 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $10.27 | 1,288 | $13,234.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.18 | 1,288 | $13,111.84 | $13,119.15 |
$-122.36 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $9.84 | 1,333 | $13,110.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $10.64 | 1,333 | $14,183.12 | $14,192.21 |
+$1,073.07 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $11.08 | 1,281 | $14,189.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.11 | 1,281 | $14,236.27 | $14,239.36 |
+$47.14 (+0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $9.81 | 1,452 | $14,237.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $9.72 | 1,452 | $14,111.41 | $14,113.76 |
$-125.60 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $9.74 | 1,449 | $14,113.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $9.68 | 1,449 | $14,026.32 | $14,026.68 |
$-87.08 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $9.84 | 1,425 | $14,022.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.68 | 1,425 | $15,211.88 | $15,216.56 |
+$1,189.88 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.82 | 1,549 | $15,214.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $9.96 | 1,549 | $15,428.04 | $15,430.32 |
+$213.76 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $10.21 | 1,511 | $15,427.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $10.19 | 1,511 | $15,397.09 | $15,400.10 |
$-30.22 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $9.77 | 1,576 | $15,397.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $9.78 | 1,576 | $15,421.16 | $15,423.74 |
+$23.64 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $10.25 | 1,504 | $15,415.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.07 | 1,504 | $16,649.28 | $16,657.17 |
+$1,233.43 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.44 | 1,596 | $16,654.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.14 | 1,596 | $16,175.46 | $16,178.37 |
$-478.80 (-2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.86 | 1,640 | $16,170.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.85 | 1,640 | $16,162.20 | $16,170.17 |
$-8.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $10.25 | 1,577 | $16,164.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $10.31 | 1,577 | $16,250.99 | $16,256.91 |
+$86.74 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $10.14 | 1,603 | $16,254.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.14 | 1,603 | $16,254.42 | $16,256.91 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $10.40 | 1,563 | $16,255.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.36 | 1,563 | $16,200.49 | $16,202.21 |
$-54.70 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $10.63 | 1,524 | $16,200.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $10.62 | 1,524 | $16,184.88 | $16,186.82 |
$-15.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.68 | 1,672 | $16,184.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $9.56 | 1,672 | $15,984.15 | $15,986.01 |
$-200.81 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.42 | 1,697 | $15,985.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $9.57 | 1,697 | $16,239.95 | $16,240.22 |
+$254.21 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $9.02 | 1,799 | $16,235.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.01 | 1,799 | $16,200.00 | $16,204.24 |
$-35.98 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.93 | 1,815 | $16,198.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $8.79 | 1,815 | $15,949.13 | $15,954.50 |
$-249.74 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $8.56 | 1,863 | $15,948.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.72 | 1,863 | $18,099.05 | $18,104.78 |
+$2,150.28 (+13.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $7.68 | 2,355 | $18,098.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $7.65 | 2,355 | $18,026.58 | $18,033.19 |
$-71.59 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $6.93 | 2,604 | $18,032.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $7.57 | 2,604 | $19,712.28 | $19,712.77 |
+$1,679.58 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $7.03 | 2,806 | $19,712.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $7.01 | 2,806 | $19,684.09 | $19,684.71 |
$-28.06 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $6.26 | 3,145 | $19,683.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $6.36 | 3,145 | $19,986.48 | $19,987.89 |
+$303.18 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $5.88 | 3,402 | $19,986.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $5.86 | 3,402 | $19,952.73 | $19,953.87 |
$-34.02 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $6.53 | 3,053 | $19,951.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $6.26 | 3,053 | $19,096.52 | $19,099.03 |
$-854.84 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,099.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,099.03
Total Return:
+90.99%