MA Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-0.64%
Year to Date Return
$10,575.02
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$10,642.62
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
15.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 15.3
30-Day Momentum
26
+2.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.9
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,374
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,642.62
Current Value
$10,575.02
Period P&L
$-67.69
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
13 /
30
Best Trade
+2.33%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
11.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$888,973.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-67.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-67.69
Gross Return
-0.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,642.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $562.68 | 18 | $10,128.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $561.76 | 18 | $10,111.68 | $10,626.14 |
$-16.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $572.91 | 18 | $10,312.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $579.07 | 18 | $10,423.26 | $10,737.02 |
+$110.88 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $584.65 | 18 | $10,523.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $584.13 | 18 | $10,514.34 | $10,727.66 |
$-9.36 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $579.64 | 18 | $10,433.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $579.42 | 18 | $10,429.56 | $10,723.70 |
$-3.96 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $541.13 | 19 | $10,281.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $544.78 | 19 | $10,350.82 | $10,793.15 |
+$69.44 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $547.05 | 19 | $10,393.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $544.65 | 19 | $10,348.26 | $10,747.55 |
$-45.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $542.20 | 19 | $10,301.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $541.78 | 19 | $10,293.73 | $10,739.47 |
$-8.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $530.69 | 20 | $10,613.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $531.68 | 20 | $10,633.60 | $10,759.37 |
+$19.90 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $527.47 | 20 | $10,549.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $525.03 | 20 | $10,500.60 | $10,710.57 |
$-48.80 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $524.19 | 20 | $10,483.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $523.68 | 20 | $10,473.60 | $10,700.47 |
$-10.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $522.68 | 20 | $10,453.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $520.96 | 20 | $10,419.20 | $10,666.07 |
$-34.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $538.92 | 19 | $10,239.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $539.09 | 19 | $10,242.71 | $10,669.30 |
+$3.23 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $556.73 | 19 | $10,577.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $556.10 | 19 | $10,565.90 | $10,657.33 |
$-11.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $551.58 | 19 | $10,480.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $553.68 | 19 | $10,519.92 | $10,697.23 |
+$39.90 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $543.34 | 19 | $10,323.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $540.10 | 19 | $10,261.90 | $10,635.67 |
$-61.56 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $543.22 | 19 | $10,321.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $542.43 | 19 | $10,306.12 | $10,620.61 |
$-15.06 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $538.87 | 19 | $10,238.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $538.23 | 19 | $10,226.37 | $10,608.45 |
$-12.16 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $523.01 | 20 | $10,460.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $522.22 | 20 | $10,444.30 | $10,592.55 |
$-15.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $521.62 | 20 | $10,432.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $520.20 | 20 | $10,404.00 | $10,564.15 |
$-28.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $494.89 | 21 | $10,392.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $496.66 | 21 | $10,429.81 | $10,601.16 |
+$37.01 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $512.99 | 20 | $10,259.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $512.84 | 20 | $10,256.90 | $10,598.26 |
$-2.90 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $515.97 | 20 | $10,319.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $521.66 | 20 | $10,433.19 | $10,711.95 |
+$113.69 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $525.04 | 20 | $10,500.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $523.77 | 20 | $10,475.30 | $10,686.45 |
$-25.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $518.10 | 20 | $10,362.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $519.41 | 20 | $10,388.30 | $10,712.75 |
+$26.30 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $512.46 | 20 | $10,249.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $510.91 | 20 | $10,218.20 | $10,681.85 |
$-30.90 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $506.77 | 21 | $10,642.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $505.33 | 21 | $10,611.93 | $10,651.50 |
$-30.35 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $499.02 | 21 | $10,479.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $498.30 | 21 | $10,464.20 | $10,636.28 |
$-15.22 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.88 | 21 | $10,518.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $503.32 | 21 | $10,569.72 | $10,687.52 |
+$51.24 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $511.23 | 20 | $10,224.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $490.75 | 20 | $9,815.00 | $10,277.82 |
$-409.70 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $503.47 | 20 | $10,069.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $502.22 | 20 | $10,044.40 | $10,252.82 |
$-25.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $503.00 | 20 | $10,060.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $502.34 | 20 | $10,046.80 | $10,239.62 |
$-13.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $484.83 | 21 | $10,181.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $482.78 | 21 | $10,138.38 | $10,196.57 |
$-43.05 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $493.59 | 20 | $9,871.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET | $493.02 | 20 | $9,860.40 | $10,185.17 |
$-11.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $494.24 | 20 | $9,884.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $499.97 | 20 | $9,999.40 | $10,299.67 |
+$114.50 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:30pm ET | $497.86 | 20 | $9,957.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $509.48 | 20 | $10,189.60 | $10,532.07 |
+$232.40 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $504.60 | 20 | $10,092.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $503.01 | 20 | $10,060.20 | $10,500.27 |
$-31.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $512.07 | 20 | $10,241.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $520.66 | 20 | $10,413.10 | $10,671.97 |
+$171.70 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $521.66 | 20 | $10,433.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $519.35 | 20 | $10,387.10 | $10,625.87 |
$-46.10 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $517.36 | 20 | $10,347.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $515.10 | 20 | $10,302.00 | $10,580.67 |
$-45.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $501.82 | 21 | $10,538.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $501.55 | 21 | $10,532.55 | $10,575.10 |
$-5.57 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $506.47 | 20 | $10,129.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $513.33 | 20 | $10,266.50 | $10,712.20 |
+$137.10 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $504.79 | 21 | $10,600.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $503.45 | 21 | $10,572.40 | $10,684.01 |
$-28.19 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $505.56 | 21 | $10,616.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.37 | 21 | $10,507.77 | $10,575.02 |
$-108.99 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,575.02
Net Profit/Loss:
+$575.02
Total Return:
+5.75%