MCD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-3.86%
Year to Date Return
$8,379.53
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$8,715.71
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
11
+0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.7
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,345
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,715.71
Current Value
$8,379.53
Period P&L
$-336.15
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
15 /
27
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-2.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$706,492.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-336.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-336.15
Gross Return
-3.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,715.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $302.66 | 28 | $8,474.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $303.05 | 28 | $8,485.40 | $8,726.60 |
+$10.92 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $300.90 | 29 | $8,726.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $302.84 | 29 | $8,782.22 | $8,782.72 |
+$56.12 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $304.39 | 28 | $8,522.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $304.03 | 28 | $8,512.84 | $8,772.78 |
$-9.94 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $308.85 | 28 | $8,647.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.65 | 28 | $8,614.20 | $8,739.18 |
$-33.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $306.99 | 28 | $8,595.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $306.43 | 28 | $8,580.04 | $8,723.50 |
$-15.68 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $306.89 | 28 | $8,592.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $306.48 | 28 | $8,581.44 | $8,712.02 |
$-11.48 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $307.04 | 28 | $8,597.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $305.00 | 28 | $8,540.00 | $8,654.90 |
$-57.12 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $307.19 | 28 | $8,601.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $307.04 | 28 | $8,597.12 | $8,650.70 |
$-4.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.83 | 28 | $8,535.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $304.11 | 28 | $8,515.08 | $8,630.54 |
$-20.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $306.93 | 28 | $8,594.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $306.50 | 28 | $8,581.86 | $8,618.36 |
$-12.18 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $311.64 | 27 | $8,414.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $312.02 | 27 | $8,424.54 | $8,628.75 |
+$10.39 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $312.79 | 27 | $8,445.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $315.79 | 27 | $8,526.33 | $8,709.75 |
+$81.00 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $313.30 | 27 | $8,458.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $316.95 | 27 | $8,557.78 | $8,808.57 |
+$98.82 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $320.64 | 27 | $8,657.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $319.38 | 27 | $8,623.26 | $8,774.55 |
$-34.02 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.75 | 26 | $8,495.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $324.95 | 26 | $8,448.70 | $8,727.75 |
$-46.80 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $326.46 | 26 | $8,488.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $326.03 | 26 | $8,476.78 | $8,716.44 |
$-11.31 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $324.83 | 26 | $8,445.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $325.51 | 26 | $8,463.26 | $8,733.99 |
+$17.55 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $324.57 | 26 | $8,438.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $324.02 | 26 | $8,424.52 | $8,719.82 |
$-14.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $329.58 | 26 | $8,569.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $327.39 | 26 | $8,512.14 | $8,662.75 |
$-57.07 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $327.20 | 26 | $8,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $327.31 | 26 | $8,510.06 | $8,665.61 |
+$2.86 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $330.80 | 26 | $8,600.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $328.55 | 26 | $8,542.43 | $8,607.24 |
$-58.37 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.18 | 25 | $8,379.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $334.45 | 25 | $8,361.13 | $8,588.74 |
$-18.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $333.12 | 25 | $8,328.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $334.19 | 25 | $8,354.75 | $8,615.49 |
+$26.75 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $336.55 | 25 | $8,413.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $335.48 | 25 | $8,387.00 | $8,588.62 |
$-26.87 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $331.73 | 25 | $8,293.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $331.29 | 25 | $8,282.25 | $8,577.54 |
$-11.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $326.65 | 26 | $8,492.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $326.01 | 26 | $8,476.13 | $8,560.77 |
$-16.77 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $327.09 | 26 | $8,504.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $328.62 | 26 | $8,544.12 | $8,600.55 |
+$39.78 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $328.48 | 26 | $8,540.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $327.92 | 26 | $8,525.92 | $8,585.99 |
$-14.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $324.81 | 26 | $8,445.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:00pm ET | $325.24 | 26 | $8,456.24 | $8,597.17 |
+$11.18 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:00pm ET | $320.65 | 26 | $8,336.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $311.39 | 26 | $8,096.14 | $8,356.41 |
$-240.76 (-2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.88 | 26 | $8,134.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $309.90 | 26 | $8,057.40 | $8,279.06 |
$-77.35 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $309.36 | 26 | $8,043.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $311.80 | 26 | $8,106.93 | $8,342.50 |
+$63.44 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.75 | 27 | $8,336.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:30pm ET | $309.03 | 27 | $8,343.81 | $8,350.06 |
+$7.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $307.45 | 27 | $8,301.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $304.98 | 27 | $8,234.39 | $8,283.17 |
$-66.89 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $305.83 | 27 | $8,257.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $303.24 | 27 | $8,187.52 | $8,213.28 |
$-69.89 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $302.39 | 27 | $8,164.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $305.64 | 27 | $8,252.28 | $8,301.03 |
+$87.75 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $307.77 | 26 | $8,002.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $311.43 | 26 | $8,097.18 | $8,396.06 |
+$95.03 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $302.27 | 27 | $8,161.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $303.16 | 27 | $8,185.41 | $8,420.31 |
+$24.25 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $291.27 | 28 | $8,155.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $291.23 | 28 | $8,154.44 | $8,419.05 |
$-1.26 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $293.52 | 28 | $8,218.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $292.88 | 28 | $8,200.64 | $8,401.13 |
$-17.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $285.14 | 29 | $8,269.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $284.55 | 29 | $8,251.81 | $8,383.73 |
$-17.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $283.68 | 29 | $8,226.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $283.54 | 29 | $8,222.66 | $8,379.53 |
$-4.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,379.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,620.47
Total Return:
-16.20%