MRK Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
+8.52%
Year to Date Return
$11,265.69
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,381.50
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
18.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 18.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,361
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,381.50
Current Value
$11,265.69
Period P&L
$884.13
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
20 /
22
Best Trade
+2.76%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$910,524.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$884.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$884.13
Gross Return
+8.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,381.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $105.43 | 98 | $10,331.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $105.52 | 98 | $10,340.47 | $10,390.38 |
+$8.82 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $107.04 | 97 | $10,382.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $106.73 | 97 | $10,353.25 | $10,360.75 |
$-29.63 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $109.23 | 94 | $10,267.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.88 | 94 | $10,234.72 | $10,327.85 |
$-32.90 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.52 | 93 | $10,277.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $110.90 | 93 | $10,313.70 | $10,363.65 |
+$35.81 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $110.58 | 93 | $10,283.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $110.00 | 93 | $10,230.00 | $10,310.18 |
$-53.48 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $108.13 | 95 | $10,272.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $108.11 | 95 | $10,269.98 | $10,307.89 |
$-2.29 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $110.10 | 93 | $10,239.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $110.96 | 93 | $10,319.28 | $10,387.87 |
+$79.98 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $108.95 | 95 | $10,350.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $108.43 | 95 | $10,300.85 | $10,338.48 |
$-49.39 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $111.01 | 93 | $10,323.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $111.28 | 93 | $10,349.04 | $10,363.59 |
+$25.11 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $107.77 | 96 | $10,345.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $107.91 | 96 | $10,359.36 | $10,377.03 |
+$13.44 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $107.85 | 96 | $10,353.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $107.58 | 96 | $10,327.68 | $10,351.11 |
$-25.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $106.69 | 97 | $10,348.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $109.23 | 97 | $10,595.31 | $10,597.49 |
+$246.38 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $110.34 | 96 | $10,592.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $112.33 | 96 | $10,783.68 | $10,788.53 |
+$191.04 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.82 | 90 | $10,694.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $119.26 | 90 | $10,733.40 | $10,827.68 |
+$39.15 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.15 | 89 | $10,782.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $121.55 | 89 | $10,817.96 | $10,862.84 |
+$35.16 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $117.51 | 92 | $10,810.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $117.21 | 92 | $10,783.32 | $10,835.24 |
$-27.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $117.47 | 92 | $10,807.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $117.32 | 92 | $10,793.47 | $10,821.47 |
$-13.77 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $121.79 | 88 | $10,717.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $121.46 | 88 | $10,688.92 | $10,792.43 |
$-29.04 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $120.70 | 89 | $10,742.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $120.67 | 89 | $10,739.19 | $10,789.32 |
$-3.11 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.64 | 87 | $10,669.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $122.91 | 87 | $10,693.17 | $10,812.81 |
+$23.49 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $122.90 | 87 | $10,692.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.11 | 87 | $10,623.14 | $10,743.43 |
$-69.38 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.63 | 89 | $10,735.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.14 | 89 | $10,959.02 | $10,966.82 |
+$223.39 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $120.04 | 91 | $10,923.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.13 | 91 | $10,840.83 | $10,884.01 |
$-82.81 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $114.56 | 95 | $10,883.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $114.97 | 95 | $10,922.15 | $10,922.96 |
+$38.95 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $116.70 | 93 | $10,853.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $116.46 | 93 | $10,830.78 | $10,900.68 |
$-22.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $115.22 | 94 | $10,830.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $116.46 | 94 | $10,947.02 | $11,017.02 |
+$116.34 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $115.97 | 94 | $10,901.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $116.01 | 94 | $10,904.94 | $11,020.31 |
+$3.29 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $114.48 | 96 | $10,990.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.29 | 96 | $10,971.36 | $11,001.59 |
$-18.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $114.43 | 96 | $10,984.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $115.60 | 96 | $11,097.60 | $11,114.39 |
+$112.80 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $115.83 | 95 | $11,003.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $119.03 | 95 | $11,307.85 | $11,418.40 |
+$304.01 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $118.08 | 96 | $11,335.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $120.05 | 96 | $11,524.80 | $11,607.52 |
+$189.12 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $121.29 | 95 | $11,522.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $120.42 | 95 | $11,439.90 | $11,525.34 |
$-82.18 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $117.80 | 97 | $11,426.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $117.80 | 97 | $11,426.60 | $11,525.34 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $122.68 | 93 | $11,409.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $122.74 | 93 | $11,414.82 | $11,530.92 |
+$5.58 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $120.14 | 95 | $11,413.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $119.51 | 95 | $11,353.92 | $11,471.07 |
$-59.85 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $117.88 | 97 | $11,433.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.21 | 97 | $11,369.37 | $11,406.56 |
$-64.51 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $118.39 | 96 | $11,365.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $118.45 | 96 | $11,371.20 | $11,412.32 |
+$5.76 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $112.67 | 101 | $11,379.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $112.28 | 101 | $11,340.28 | $11,373.23 |
$-39.09 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $112.03 | 101 | $11,314.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $111.85 | 101 | $11,296.85 | $11,355.55 |
$-17.68 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.46 | 101 | $11,257.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $111.38 | 101 | $11,249.38 | $11,347.47 |
$-8.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $111.14 | 102 | $11,335.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $110.61 | 102 | $11,281.71 | $11,293.41 |
$-54.06 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $113.45 | 99 | $11,231.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.17 | 99 | $11,203.83 | $11,265.69 |
$-27.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,265.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,265.69
Total Return:
+12.66%