MU Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+20.04%
Year to Date Return
$10,899.47
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,079.77
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
12.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.6
30-Day Momentum
50
+13.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.6
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,598
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,079.77
Current Value
$10,899.47
Period P&L
$1,819.79
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+10.15%
Worst Trade
-6.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$824,975.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,819.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,819.79
Gross Return
+20.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,079.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $311.63 | 29 | $9,037.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $336.89 | 29 | $9,769.67 | $9,812.22 |
+$732.54 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $327.58 | 29 | $9,499.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $324.44 | 29 | $9,408.76 | $9,721.16 |
$-91.06 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $345.54 | 28 | $9,675.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $344.88 | 28 | $9,656.71 | $9,702.75 |
$-18.41 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $332.40 | 29 | $9,639.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $342.93 | 29 | $9,944.83 | $10,007.98 |
+$305.23 (+3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $355.42 | 28 | $9,951.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $366.86 | 28 | $10,272.08 | $10,328.30 |
+$320.32 (+3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $387.80 | 26 | $10,082.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $385.19 | 26 | $10,014.94 | $10,260.57 |
$-67.73 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $398.10 | 25 | $9,952.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $401.25 | 25 | $10,031.25 | $10,339.32 |
+$78.75 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $391.67 | 26 | $10,183.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $390.33 | 26 | $10,148.58 | $10,304.48 |
$-34.84 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.78 | 24 | $10,194.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $430.10 | 24 | $10,322.28 | $10,432.04 |
+$127.56 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $434.44 | 24 | $10,426.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $435.02 | 24 | $10,440.48 | $10,445.96 |
+$13.92 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $417.00 | 25 | $10,425.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.66 | 25 | $10,091.49 | $10,112.45 |
$-333.51 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $382.13 | 26 | $9,935.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $378.95 | 26 | $9,852.83 | $10,029.90 |
$-82.55 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $388.38 | 25 | $9,709.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $386.10 | 25 | $9,652.50 | $9,972.95 |
$-56.95 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $409.25 | 24 | $9,822.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $413.08 | 24 | $9,913.80 | $10,064.75 |
+$91.80 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $426.21 | 23 | $9,802.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $424.36 | 23 | $9,760.39 | $10,022.20 |
$-42.55 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $421.53 | 23 | $9,695.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $425.27 | 23 | $9,781.32 | $10,108.39 |
+$86.19 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $414.48 | 24 | $9,947.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $413.39 | 24 | $9,921.36 | $10,082.35 |
$-26.04 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $413.61 | 24 | $9,926.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.00 | 24 | $9,240.00 | $9,395.71 |
$-686.64 (-6.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.35 | 24 | $9,392.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $402.12 | 24 | $9,650.86 | $9,654.17 |
+$258.46 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $387.88 | 24 | $9,309.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $380.38 | 24 | $9,129.12 | $9,474.29 |
$-179.88 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $372.65 | 25 | $9,316.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $377.94 | 25 | $9,448.50 | $9,606.54 |
+$132.25 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $406.17 | 23 | $9,341.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 23 | $10,270.42 | $10,535.05 |
+$928.51 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.43 | 23 | $10,382.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $466.28 | 23 | $10,724.34 | $10,876.60 |
+$341.55 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.80 | 25 | $10,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $407.73 | 25 | $10,193.37 | $10,449.97 |
$-426.63 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $382.27 | 27 | $10,321.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $379.60 | 27 | $10,249.20 | $10,377.88 |
$-72.09 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $356.88 | 29 | $10,349.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $355.92 | 29 | $10,321.68 | $10,350.04 |
$-27.84 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.00 | 28 | $10,136.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 28 | $9,665.18 | $9,879.22 |
$-470.82 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $327.24 | 30 | $9,817.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.51 | 30 | $9,735.15 | $9,797.07 |
$-82.15 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $365.23 | 26 | $9,496.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $361.39 | 26 | $9,396.01 | $9,696.97 |
$-100.10 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $380.56 | 25 | $9,513.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $378.56 | 25 | $9,463.97 | $9,646.96 |
$-50.01 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $376.02 | 25 | $9,400.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 25 | $10,354.62 | $10,601.21 |
+$954.25 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $405.40 | 26 | $10,540.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $410.40 | 26 | $10,670.40 | $10,731.21 |
+$130.00 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $418.31 | 25 | $10,457.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $415.36 | 25 | $10,384.12 | $10,657.58 |
$-73.63 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $447.26 | 23 | $10,286.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $454.50 | 23 | $10,453.50 | $10,824.10 |
+$166.52 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $458.89 | 23 | $10,554.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $457.57 | 23 | $10,524.11 | $10,793.74 |
$-30.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.55 | 23 | $10,684.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 23 | $11,091.40 | $11,200.49 |
+$406.75 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.80 | 22 | $10,907.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $497.63 | 22 | $10,947.86 | $11,240.75 |
+$40.26 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $520.11 | 21 | $10,922.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 21 | $10,547.67 | $10,866.00 |
$-374.75 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 20 | $10,548.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $510.53 | 20 | $10,210.50 | $10,528.50 |
$-337.50 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $534.99 | 19 | $10,164.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $578.70 | 19 | $10,995.30 | $11,358.90 |
+$830.40 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $659.20 | 17 | $11,206.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $632.17 | 17 | $10,746.89 | $10,899.47 |
$-459.43 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,899.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$899.47
Total Return:
+8.99%