NFLX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
+6.17%
Year to Date Return
$11,727.50
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$11,046.39
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
20.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 20.5
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.0%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,483
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,046.39
Current Value
$11,727.50
Period P&L
$681.16
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
15 /
27
Best Trade
+13.85%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
11.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$959,788.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.16
Gross Return
+6.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,046.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $91.95 | 120 | $11,034.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $91.32 | 120 | $10,957.80 | $10,970.14 |
$-76.20 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $90.71 | 120 | $10,885.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $90.59 | 120 | $10,870.80 | $10,955.76 |
$-14.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $90.77 | 120 | $10,892.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $90.27 | 120 | $10,832.40 | $10,895.76 |
$-60.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $88.95 | 122 | $10,851.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $88.82 | 122 | $10,835.43 | $10,879.29 |
$-16.47 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $89.73 | 121 | $10,856.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $89.42 | 121 | $10,820.21 | $10,842.77 |
$-36.52 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $88.41 | 122 | $10,785.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $89.00 | 122 | $10,858.50 | $10,915.86 |
+$73.09 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $88.13 | 123 | $10,839.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $87.91 | 123 | $10,812.32 | $10,888.80 |
$-27.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $83.60 | 130 | $10,867.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $83.90 | 130 | $10,907.00 | $10,928.45 |
+$39.65 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $86.01 | 127 | $10,922.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $85.73 | 127 | $10,887.08 | $10,892.89 |
$-35.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $84.75 | 128 | $10,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $84.79 | 128 | $10,853.15 | $10,898.03 |
+$5.15 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $83.42 | 130 | $10,844.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $83.19 | 130 | $10,815.29 | $10,868.73 |
$-29.30 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $80.36 | 135 | $10,848.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.57 | 135 | $10,876.28 | $10,896.41 |
+$27.68 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.09 | 132 | $10,835.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $80.92 | 132 | $10,680.78 | $10,741.31 |
$-155.10 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $80.88 | 132 | $10,675.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $81.42 | 132 | $10,746.78 | $10,812.59 |
+$71.28 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $80.00 | 135 | $10,800.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $79.84 | 135 | $10,778.40 | $10,790.31 |
$-22.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $76.29 | 141 | $10,756.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $76.35 | 141 | $10,764.65 | $10,798.77 |
+$8.46 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $77.87 | 138 | $10,746.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $77.97 | 138 | $10,760.55 | $10,813.30 |
+$14.53 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $76.08 | 142 | $10,804.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $75.95 | 142 | $10,784.90 | $10,794.13 |
$-19.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $82.73 | 130 | $10,755.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.19 | 130 | $12,245.05 | $12,283.80 |
+$1,489.67 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $97.19 | 126 | $12,245.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.68 | 126 | $12,055.05 | $12,092.91 |
$-190.89 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $98.71 | 122 | $12,042.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $98.63 | 122 | $12,032.86 | $12,083.15 |
$-9.76 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $97.76 | 123 | $12,023.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $97.04 | 123 | $11,935.31 | $11,994.58 |
$-88.57 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $95.32 | 125 | $11,914.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $94.56 | 125 | $11,819.38 | $11,899.58 |
$-95.00 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $95.11 | 125 | $11,889.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $95.26 | 125 | $11,907.50 | $11,917.71 |
+$18.13 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $94.47 | 126 | $11,903.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $94.70 | 126 | $11,932.20 | $11,946.68 |
+$28.97 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $91.51 | 130 | $11,896.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $91.26 | 130 | $11,863.80 | $11,913.53 |
$-33.15 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $92.69 | 128 | $11,864.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $91.71 | 128 | $11,738.88 | $11,788.09 |
$-125.44 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $92.96 | 126 | $11,712.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $92.81 | 126 | $11,693.43 | $11,769.19 |
$-18.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $93.72 | 125 | $11,715.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $93.42 | 125 | $11,677.50 | $11,731.06 |
$-38.13 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.55 | 125 | $11,693.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET | $95.65 | 125 | $11,956.87 | $11,994.18 |
+$263.12 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $95.63 | 125 | $11,954.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.39 | 125 | $11,923.13 | $11,963.23 |
$-30.95 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $98.74 | 121 | $11,946.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.75 | 121 | $11,949.35 | $11,965.65 |
+$2.42 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.79 | 121 | $11,952.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $99.04 | 121 | $11,984.44 | $11,997.11 |
+$31.46 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $103.43 | 115 | $11,893.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $105.71 | 115 | $12,156.57 | $12,259.80 |
+$262.69 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $108.27 | 113 | $12,234.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $108.05 | 113 | $12,209.65 | $12,235.22 |
$-24.58 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $97.31 | 125 | $12,163.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $94.29 | 125 | $11,786.87 | $11,858.97 |
$-376.25 (-3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.25 | 127 | $11,842.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $93.09 | 127 | $11,822.43 | $11,838.65 |
$-20.32 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $92.81 | 127 | $11,786.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $92.78 | 127 | $11,782.72 | $11,835.13 |
$-3.52 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $92.68 | 127 | $11,769.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $92.43 | 127 | $11,739.24 | $11,804.65 |
$-30.48 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $91.91 | 128 | $11,764.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $91.93 | 128 | $11,767.68 | $11,807.85 |
+$3.20 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $92.04 | 128 | $11,780.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $91.82 | 128 | $11,753.60 | $11,780.97 |
$-26.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $88.06 | 133 | $11,712.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.66 | 133 | $11,658.78 | $11,727.50 |
$-53.47 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,727.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,727.50
Total Return:
+17.27%