NVDA Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
-1.54%
Year to Date Return
$10,694.55
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$10,862.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
13.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.8
30-Day Momentum
23
+2.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,604
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,862.26
Current Value
$10,694.55
Period P&L
$-167.71
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
12 /
26
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-1.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
12.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$792,969.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-167.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-167.71
Gross Return
-1.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,862.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.98 | 56 | $10,806.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $189.30 | 56 | $10,600.80 | $10,656.48 |
$-205.80 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $188.68 | 56 | $10,565.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $189.82 | 56 | $10,629.92 | $10,720.55 |
+$64.08 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $184.92 | 57 | $10,540.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $183.83 | 57 | $10,478.31 | $10,658.71 |
$-61.84 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $185.24 | 57 | $10,558.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $186.10 | 57 | $10,607.69 | $10,707.73 |
+$49.02 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $184.98 | 57 | $10,543.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.43 | 57 | $10,455.51 | $10,619.38 |
$-88.35 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $189.21 | 56 | $10,596.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $188.68 | 56 | $10,566.08 | $10,589.46 |
$-29.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $179.95 | 58 | $10,436.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $180.13 | 58 | $10,447.25 | $10,599.90 |
+$10.44 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.42 | 56 | $10,495.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $187.38 | 56 | $10,493.00 | $10,597.38 |
$-2.52 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $186.83 | 56 | $10,462.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $186.58 | 56 | $10,448.20 | $10,583.38 |
$-14.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $189.70 | 55 | $10,433.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $189.22 | 55 | $10,407.10 | $10,557.23 |
$-26.15 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.85 | 54 | $10,413.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.99 | 54 | $10,313.46 | $10,456.79 |
$-100.44 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $189.22 | 55 | $10,406.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $189.00 | 55 | $10,395.01 | $10,444.89 |
$-11.90 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $179.43 | 58 | $10,406.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $176.91 | 58 | $10,260.79 | $10,299.02 |
$-145.86 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $175.22 | 58 | $10,162.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $174.33 | 58 | $10,111.14 | $10,247.67 |
$-51.36 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $190.13 | 53 | $10,076.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $189.12 | 53 | $10,023.37 | $10,194.15 |
$-53.52 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $191.74 | 53 | $10,162.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $191.47 | 53 | $10,147.91 | $10,179.57 |
$-14.57 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $182.78 | 55 | $10,053.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $185.39 | 55 | $10,196.45 | $10,322.99 |
+$143.42 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $187.83 | 54 | $10,142.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $189.04 | 54 | $10,207.90 | $10,388.07 |
+$65.08 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $191.25 | 54 | $10,327.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $192.72 | 54 | $10,406.88 | $10,467.45 |
+$79.38 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $179.35 | 58 | $10,402.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $181.91 | 58 | $10,550.78 | $10,615.64 |
+$148.19 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $180.22 | 58 | $10,452.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $180.10 | 58 | $10,445.80 | $10,608.68 |
$-6.96 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $178.82 | 59 | $10,550.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $179.41 | 59 | $10,585.48 | $10,643.49 |
+$34.81 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $185.62 | 57 | $10,580.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.01 | 57 | $10,488.29 | $10,551.58 |
$-91.91 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.96 | 57 | $10,542.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $183.64 | 57 | $10,467.48 | $10,476.27 |
$-75.31 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $182.68 | 57 | $10,412.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $182.56 | 57 | $10,405.92 | $10,469.71 |
$-6.56 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET | $178.71 | 58 | $10,365.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:50pm ET | $178.14 | 58 | $10,332.35 | $10,436.59 |
$-33.12 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.38 | 58 | $10,288.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $176.34 | 58 | $10,227.73 | $10,376.28 |
$-60.31 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $175.32 | 59 | $10,343.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $178.82 | 59 | $10,550.67 | $10,583.37 |
+$207.09 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $169.44 | 62 | $10,505.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $166.93 | 62 | $10,349.35 | $10,427.44 |
$-155.93 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $176.98 | 58 | $10,264.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $176.70 | 58 | $10,248.60 | $10,411.20 |
$-16.24 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $181.68 | 57 | $10,356.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $183.34 | 57 | $10,450.10 | $10,505.25 |
+$94.05 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $188.54 | 55 | $10,369.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $188.45 | 55 | $10,364.48 | $10,500.30 |
$-4.95 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $198.65 | 52 | $10,330.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $198.33 | 52 | $10,313.16 | $10,483.40 |
$-16.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.05 | 52 | $10,454.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $201.45 | 52 | $10,475.40 | $10,504.20 |
+$20.80 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $199.42 | 52 | $10,369.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $209.00 | 52 | $10,868.02 | $11,002.38 |
+$498.18 (+4.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $210.88 | 52 | $10,965.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.24 | 52 | $10,828.64 | $10,865.31 |
$-137.07 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.55 | 53 | $10,682.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $199.76 | 53 | $10,587.53 | $10,770.69 |
$-94.62 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $198.90 | 54 | $10,740.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $197.49 | 54 | $10,664.46 | $10,694.55 |
$-76.14 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,694.55
Net Profit/Loss:
+$694.55
Total Return:
+6.95%