OXY Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
-4.67%
Year to Date Return
$9,237.38
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,689.77
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
16
+0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.2
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,643
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,689.77
Current Value
$9,237.38
Period P&L
$-452.38
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
17 /
24
Best Trade
+8.68%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
15.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$782,931.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-452.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-452.38
Gross Return
-4.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,689.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:50pm ET | $41.12 | 236 | $9,703.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.11 | 236 | $9,700.78 | $9,702.49 |
$-2.36 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.81 | 226 | $9,673.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $42.27 | 226 | $9,552.84 | $9,581.40 |
$-121.09 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $41.76 | 229 | $9,563.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $41.78 | 229 | $9,567.62 | $9,585.98 |
+$4.58 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $41.09 | 233 | $9,574.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $41.05 | 233 | $9,563.49 | $9,574.91 |
$-11.07 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $42.85 | 223 | $9,555.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.58 | 223 | $9,495.34 | $9,514.70 |
$-60.21 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $43.54 | 218 | $9,490.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $43.50 | 218 | $9,483.00 | $9,507.07 |
$-7.63 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $43.90 | 216 | $9,482.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $43.55 | 216 | $9,405.72 | $9,430.39 |
$-76.68 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $42.99 | 219 | $9,415.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $42.84 | 219 | $9,380.87 | $9,396.16 |
$-34.23 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 216 | $9,387.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $43.22 | 216 | $9,335.52 | $9,344.32 |
$-51.84 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $42.83 | 218 | $9,335.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $44.07 | 218 | $9,607.26 | $9,615.73 |
+$271.41 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $44.23 | 217 | $9,596.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $44.84 | 217 | $9,729.20 | $9,748.10 |
+$132.37 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:35pm ET | $45.97 | 212 | $9,745.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $45.74 | 212 | $9,696.88 | $9,699.34 |
$-48.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $44.97 | 215 | $9,667.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.93 | 215 | $9,444.95 | $9,476.81 |
$-222.52 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $44.28 | 214 | $9,475.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $44.42 | 214 | $9,504.81 | $9,505.70 |
+$28.89 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.35 | 209 | $9,479.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $45.26 | 209 | $9,459.34 | $9,485.85 |
$-19.86 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $46.13 | 205 | $9,456.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $46.65 | 205 | $9,563.27 | $9,592.47 |
+$106.62 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.22 | 203 | $9,585.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $47.38 | 203 | $9,617.13 | $9,623.93 |
+$31.46 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $45.58 | 211 | $9,616.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $45.49 | 211 | $9,597.34 | $9,604.83 |
$-19.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.22 | 203 | $9,586.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.33 | 203 | $10,418.98 | $10,437.13 |
+$832.30 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $51.02 | 204 | $10,408.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $51.03 | 204 | $10,410.12 | $10,439.17 |
+$2.04 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $52.31 | 199 | $10,408.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.72 | 199 | $10,292.28 | $10,322.76 |
$-116.41 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $50.87 | 202 | $10,275.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.03 | 202 | $10,105.05 | $10,152.13 |
$-170.63 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $53.93 | 188 | $10,138.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.67 | 188 | $10,090.90 | $10,104.19 |
$-47.94 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $53.42 | 189 | $10,095.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $53.65 | 189 | $10,139.85 | $10,148.61 |
+$44.42 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $55.32 | 183 | $10,123.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.80 | 183 | $9,662.40 | $9,687.45 |
$-461.16 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.66 | 168 | $9,686.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $57.94 | 168 | $9,733.92 | $9,734.49 |
+$47.04 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.55 | 169 | $9,725.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $57.92 | 169 | $9,788.48 | $9,797.02 |
+$62.53 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $58.44 | 167 | $9,759.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $58.29 | 167 | $9,734.43 | $9,771.97 |
$-25.05 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $61.05 | 160 | $9,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.47 | 160 | $9,355.20 | $9,359.17 |
$-412.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.92 | 153 | $9,320.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $61.28 | 153 | $9,375.84 | $9,414.25 |
+$55.08 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.88 | 142 | $9,354.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $63.16 | 142 | $8,968.72 | $9,028.01 |
$-386.24 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $61.96 | 145 | $8,984.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $62.89 | 145 | $9,119.05 | $9,162.86 |
+$134.85 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $62.71 | 146 | $9,154.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $62.62 | 146 | $9,142.52 | $9,150.45 |
$-12.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $58.95 | 155 | $9,137.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.79 | 155 | $9,267.45 | $9,280.65 |
+$130.20 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $58.31 | 159 | $9,271.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $58.19 | 159 | $9,252.21 | $9,261.57 |
$-19.08 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $58.08 | 159 | $9,235.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.96 | 159 | $9,056.64 | $9,082.70 |
$-178.88 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.32 | 161 | $9,067.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $56.69 | 161 | $9,127.09 | $9,142.27 |
+$59.57 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $57.21 | 159 | $9,096.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $57.12 | 159 | $9,081.29 | $9,127.17 |
$-15.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $57.38 | 159 | $9,123.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $57.27 | 159 | $9,105.93 | $9,109.68 |
$-17.49 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $60.18 | 151 | $9,087.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $60.22 | 151 | $9,093.22 | $9,115.72 |
+$6.04 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.99 | 154 | $9,083.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $59.78 | 154 | $9,205.35 | $9,237.38 |
+$121.66 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,237.38
Net Profit/Loss:
$-762.62
Total Return:
-7.63%