PEP Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+5.82%
Year to Date Return
$12,389.32
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$11,708.08
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
34.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 34.5
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.3%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,567
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,708.08
Current Value
$12,389.32
Period P&L
$681.26
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
14 /
27
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
13.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$990,992.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.26
Gross Return
+5.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,708.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $142.88 | 81 | $11,573.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $142.68 | 81 | $11,557.08 | $11,691.86 |
$-16.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $139.11 | 84 | $11,684.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $138.97 | 84 | $11,673.06 | $11,680.02 |
$-11.84 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $137.95 | 84 | $11,587.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $137.83 | 84 | $11,577.72 | $11,669.94 |
$-10.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $139.94 | 83 | $11,614.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $141.63 | 83 | $11,755.29 | $11,810.62 |
+$140.68 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.87 | 80 | $11,669.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $145.73 | 80 | $11,658.40 | $11,799.42 |
$-11.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $146.35 | 80 | $11,708.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $146.13 | 80 | $11,690.40 | $11,781.82 |
$-17.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $146.18 | 80 | $11,694.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.02 | 80 | $11,681.60 | $11,769.42 |
$-12.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $144.08 | 81 | $11,670.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $143.59 | 81 | $11,630.79 | $11,730.14 |
$-39.28 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $149.13 | 78 | $11,632.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $148.95 | 78 | $11,618.10 | $11,716.10 |
$-14.04 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:35pm ET | $149.92 | 78 | $11,693.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $149.60 | 78 | $11,668.80 | $11,691.14 |
$-24.96 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.00 | 73 | $11,534.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $160.75 | 73 | $11,734.75 | $11,891.89 |
+$200.75 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $166.21 | 71 | $11,800.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $166.01 | 71 | $11,786.71 | $11,877.69 |
$-14.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $168.71 | 70 | $11,810.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $168.37 | 70 | $11,785.55 | $11,853.19 |
$-24.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $166.66 | 71 | $11,832.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $166.14 | 71 | $11,795.94 | $11,816.27 |
$-36.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.52 | 70 | $11,726.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $168.93 | 70 | $11,825.06 | $11,914.58 |
+$98.31 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $161.23 | 73 | $11,769.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $163.78 | 73 | $11,955.94 | $12,100.73 |
+$186.15 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $164.14 | 73 | $11,982.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $168.30 | 73 | $12,285.90 | $12,404.41 |
+$303.68 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $168.26 | 73 | $12,282.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $168.31 | 73 | $12,286.63 | $12,408.42 |
+$4.01 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $168.45 | 73 | $12,296.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $169.30 | 73 | $12,358.90 | $12,470.47 |
+$62.05 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $167.98 | 74 | $12,430.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.61 | 74 | $12,403.14 | $12,443.46 |
$-27.01 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $157.68 | 78 | $12,299.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $160.37 | 78 | $12,508.86 | $12,652.89 |
+$209.43 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.37 | 78 | $12,508.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.87 | 78 | $12,391.86 | $12,535.89 |
$-117.00 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $160.23 | 78 | $12,497.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $159.96 | 78 | $12,476.88 | $12,514.83 |
$-21.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $157.23 | 79 | $12,421.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $157.10 | 79 | $12,410.90 | $12,504.56 |
$-10.27 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $154.13 | 81 | $12,484.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $153.71 | 81 | $12,450.51 | $12,470.54 |
$-34.02 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $150.70 | 82 | $12,357.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $151.29 | 82 | $12,405.78 | $12,518.92 |
+$48.38 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $151.40 | 82 | $12,414.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $152.04 | 82 | $12,467.28 | $12,571.40 |
+$52.48 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $158.04 | 79 | $12,485.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $157.86 | 79 | $12,470.94 | $12,557.18 |
$-14.22 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET | $155.24 | 80 | $12,419.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.75 | 80 | $12,300.00 | $12,437.98 |
$-119.20 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $156.13 | 79 | $12,334.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $156.03 | 79 | $12,326.37 | $12,430.08 |
$-7.90 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $153.63 | 80 | $12,290.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $153.54 | 80 | $12,283.20 | $12,422.88 |
$-7.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $157.65 | 78 | $12,296.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $157.32 | 78 | $12,270.96 | $12,397.53 |
$-25.35 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $155.76 | 79 | $12,305.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $155.80 | 79 | $12,308.20 | $12,400.69 |
+$3.16 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $154.42 | 80 | $12,353.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $153.93 | 80 | $12,314.00 | $12,361.48 |
$-39.21 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $158.03 | 78 | $12,326.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $157.65 | 78 | $12,296.70 | $12,331.83 |
$-29.65 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $156.66 | 78 | $12,219.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $156.41 | 78 | $12,200.37 | $12,312.72 |
$-19.11 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.32 | 79 | $12,270.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $154.76 | 79 | $12,225.84 | $12,267.89 |
$-44.83 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $155.38 | 78 | $12,120.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $155.49 | 78 | $12,128.22 | $12,276.08 |
+$8.19 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $155.41 | 78 | $12,121.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $157.78 | 78 | $12,306.84 | $12,460.94 |
+$184.86 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $157.57 | 79 | $12,448.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.70 | 79 | $12,300.30 | $12,313.21 |
$-147.73 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.27 | 79 | $12,187.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.23 | 79 | $12,263.17 | $12,389.32 |
+$76.11 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,389.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,389.32
Total Return:
+23.89%