PG Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
-14.53%
Year to Date Return
$10,672.05
Current Value
13%
Win Rate
$12,486.86
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
18.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 17.8
30-Day Momentum
7
-7.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,537
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,486.86
Current Value
$10,672.05
Period P&L
$-1,814.82
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
5 /
34
Best Trade
+0.94%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
17h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$920,959.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,814.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,814.82
Gross Return
-14.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,486.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $141.91 | 87 | $12,346.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $141.68 | 87 | $12,326.16 | $12,466.86 |
$-20.01 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $140.83 | 88 | $12,393.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $140.66 | 88 | $12,378.08 | $12,451.90 |
$-14.96 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $138.40 | 89 | $12,317.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $138.15 | 89 | $12,295.35 | $12,429.65 |
$-22.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $141.61 | 87 | $12,320.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.20 | 87 | $12,284.51 | $12,394.09 |
$-35.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $143.44 | 86 | $12,335.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $143.38 | 86 | $12,330.68 | $12,388.93 |
$-5.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $146.43 | 84 | $12,300.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $146.26 | 84 | $12,285.42 | $12,374.23 |
$-14.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $144.36 | 85 | $12,270.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $144.11 | 85 | $12,249.52 | $12,353.15 |
$-21.08 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $146.79 | 84 | $12,330.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $146.40 | 84 | $12,297.60 | $12,320.39 |
$-32.76 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $149.81 | 82 | $12,284.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $150.09 | 82 | $12,307.38 | $12,343.35 |
+$22.96 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.64 | 81 | $12,201.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $149.89 | 81 | $12,140.69 | $12,282.20 |
$-61.15 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $148.91 | 82 | $12,210.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $148.76 | 82 | $12,198.32 | $12,270.31 |
$-11.89 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.12 | 82 | $12,145.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $149.02 | 82 | $12,219.64 | $12,344.11 |
+$73.80 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $153.10 | 80 | $12,248.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $152.85 | 80 | $12,227.60 | $12,323.70 |
$-20.41 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $155.73 | 79 | $12,302.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.32 | 79 | $12,270.28 | $12,291.31 |
$-32.39 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.57 | 77 | $12,209.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $158.28 | 77 | $12,187.56 | $12,269.17 |
$-22.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $159.38 | 76 | $12,112.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $158.93 | 76 | $12,078.64 | $12,234.93 |
$-34.24 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $157.11 | 77 | $12,097.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $157.09 | 77 | $12,095.55 | $12,233.01 |
$-1.92 (-0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.69 | 75 | $12,126.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $158.07 | 75 | $11,855.62 | $11,961.88 |
$-271.13 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $165.53 | 72 | $11,918.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $165.50 | 72 | $11,916.00 | $11,959.72 |
$-2.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $163.79 | 73 | $11,957.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $163.14 | 73 | $11,909.22 | $11,911.91 |
$-47.81 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $155.45 | 76 | $11,814.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $154.90 | 76 | $11,772.40 | $11,870.11 |
$-41.80 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $154.95 | 76 | $11,776.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.67 | 76 | $11,678.92 | $11,772.83 |
$-97.28 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $153.01 | 76 | $11,628.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 2:45pm ET | $153.15 | 76 | $11,639.02 | $11,783.09 |
+$10.26 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.23 | 77 | $11,721.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $151.41 | 77 | $11,658.57 | $11,720.33 |
$-62.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $151.43 | 77 | $11,660.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $152.85 | 77 | $11,769.45 | $11,829.67 |
+$109.34 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $148.15 | 79 | $11,703.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET | $145.34 | 79 | $11,482.02 | $11,607.84 |
$-221.83 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $145.15 | 79 | $11,466.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $144.32 | 79 | $11,400.89 | $11,542.27 |
$-65.57 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.17 | 80 | $11,533.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $143.76 | 80 | $11,500.80 | $11,509.47 |
$-32.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.44 | 80 | $11,475.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $144.30 | 80 | $11,544.10 | $11,578.37 |
+$68.90 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $143.95 | 80 | $11,516.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.70 | 80 | $11,495.60 | $11,557.97 |
$-20.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.37 | 80 | $11,469.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $142.99 | 80 | $11,439.60 | $11,527.97 |
$-30.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $141.76 | 81 | $11,482.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $141.49 | 81 | $11,460.69 | $11,506.10 |
$-21.87 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $144.65 | 79 | $11,427.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.98 | 79 | $11,374.42 | $11,453.17 |
$-52.93 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $145.64 | 78 | $11,359.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.62 | 78 | $11,202.36 | $11,295.61 |
$-157.56 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.49 | 78 | $11,191.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $143.46 | 78 | $11,189.88 | $11,293.66 |
$-1.95 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $147.32 | 76 | $11,195.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $142.68 | 76 | $10,844.06 | $10,941.78 |
$-351.88 (-3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $149.67 | 73 | $10,925.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $148.53 | 73 | $10,842.69 | $10,858.56 |
$-83.22 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $146.64 | 74 | $10,851.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $146.28 | 74 | $10,824.72 | $10,831.92 |
$-26.64 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $147.38 | 73 | $10,758.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.18 | 73 | $10,598.50 | $10,672.05 |
$-159.87 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,672.05
Net Profit/Loss:
+$672.05
Total Return:
+6.72%