PLTR Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+15.87%
Year to Date Return
$21,974.23
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$18,965.05
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
44.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 44.6
30-Day Momentum
57
+13.9%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.8
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$18,965.05
Current Value
$21,974.23
Period P&L
$3,009.22
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+8.01%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
20.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,520,345.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,009.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,009.22
Gross Return
+15.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $18,965.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $169.14 | 112 | $18,943.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.84 | 112 | $18,798.08 | $18,819.40 |
$-145.60 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $179.58 | 104 | $18,676.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.83 | 104 | $18,598.32 | $18,741.40 |
$-78.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $177.37 | 105 | $18,623.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $175.44 | 105 | $18,421.20 | $18,539.27 |
$-202.13 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.69 | 103 | $18,405.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.77 | 103 | $18,310.69 | $18,444.89 |
$-94.38 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $176.13 | 104 | $18,317.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $175.29 | 104 | $18,230.16 | $18,358.05 |
$-86.84 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.29 | 101 | $18,310.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.32 | 101 | $17,808.57 | $17,856.34 |
$-501.72 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $170.22 | 104 | $17,703.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $170.09 | 104 | $17,689.36 | $17,842.48 |
$-13.85 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $163.34 | 109 | $17,804.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $165.32 | 109 | $18,019.88 | $18,058.30 |
+$215.82 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $170.21 | 106 | $18,042.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.65 | 106 | $17,982.50 | $17,998.54 |
$-59.76 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $168.56 | 106 | $17,867.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $167.20 | 106 | $17,722.67 | $17,853.85 |
$-144.69 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $150.82 | 118 | $17,796.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $149.90 | 118 | $17,688.55 | $17,745.63 |
$-108.22 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.53 | 119 | $17,675.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $149.87 | 119 | $17,834.53 | $17,905.09 |
+$159.46 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $157.51 | 113 | $17,798.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.90 | 113 | $16,938.71 | $17,045.18 |
$-859.92 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $132.48 | 128 | $16,957.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $131.46 | 128 | $16,826.88 | $16,914.63 |
$-130.55 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $135.88 | 124 | $16,849.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $144.09 | 124 | $17,866.54 | $17,932.05 |
+$1,017.42 (+6.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $139.74 | 128 | $17,886.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.81 | 128 | $17,511.68 | $17,557.01 |
$-375.04 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $131.31 | 133 | $17,464.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $132.63 | 133 | $17,639.79 | $17,732.57 |
+$175.56 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $135.79 | 130 | $17,652.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $134.78 | 130 | $17,521.40 | $17,601.92 |
$-130.65 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $134.39 | 130 | $17,470.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $134.49 | 130 | $17,483.75 | $17,614.97 |
+$13.05 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $130.53 | 134 | $17,491.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.08 | 134 | $17,296.72 | $17,420.66 |
$-194.31 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.63 | 133 | $17,374.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $134.55 | 133 | $17,895.15 | $17,941.36 |
+$520.70 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $135.25 | 132 | $17,853.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.08 | 132 | $19,282.56 | $19,370.92 |
+$1,429.56 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $143.02 | 135 | $19,307.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $154.48 | 135 | $20,854.80 | $20,918.02 |
+$1,547.10 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $151.41 | 138 | $20,894.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $150.92 | 138 | $20,826.96 | $20,850.40 |
$-67.62 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $154.65 | 134 | $20,722.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $153.85 | 134 | $20,616.17 | $20,744.14 |
$-106.26 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.30 | 134 | $20,676.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $150.50 | 134 | $20,166.66 | $20,234.60 |
$-509.54 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $155.65 | 129 | $20,079.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $153.68 | 129 | $19,824.72 | $19,979.82 |
$-254.78 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.75 | 129 | $19,833.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $156.63 | 129 | $20,205.28 | $20,351.35 |
+$371.53 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $153.88 | 132 | $20,312.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $154.77 | 132 | $20,429.81 | $20,469.00 |
+$117.65 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $151.25 | 135 | $20,418.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.28 | 135 | $19,477.80 | $19,528.05 |
$-940.95 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $142.21 | 137 | $19,482.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $141.43 | 137 | $19,375.92 | $19,421.19 |
$-106.86 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $146.52 | 132 | $19,341.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $146.37 | 132 | $19,320.84 | $19,400.73 |
$-20.46 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $148.66 | 130 | $19,325.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $147.77 | 130 | $19,210.10 | $19,285.04 |
$-115.69 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $127.71 | 151 | $19,283.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $133.34 | 151 | $20,133.59 | $20,135.17 |
+$850.13 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $135.96 | 148 | $20,122.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $142.96 | 148 | $21,158.57 | $21,171.66 |
+$1,036.49 (+5.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.19 | 143 | $21,048.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $146.35 | 143 | $20,928.05 | $21,051.54 |
$-120.12 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $141.52 | 148 | $20,944.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.47 | 148 | $20,937.56 | $21,044.16 |
$-7.38 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $136.99 | 153 | $20,959.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $136.84 | 153 | $20,936.52 | $21,021.21 |
$-22.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $138.90 | 151 | $20,973.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.10 | 151 | $22,061.85 | $22,109.45 |
+$1,088.24 (+5.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $136.52 | 161 | $21,979.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $135.68 | 161 | $21,844.50 | $21,974.23 |
$-135.22 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,974.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,974.23
Total Return:
+119.74%