PM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
+0.90%
Year to Date Return
$14,098.78
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$13,972.71
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
28.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
54.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 53.7
30-Day Momentum
15
+1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.6
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,024
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,972.71
Current Value
$14,098.78
Period P&L
$126.06
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
12 /
20
Best Trade
+3.83%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$902,710.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$126.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$126.06
Gross Return
+0.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,972.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $160.82 | 86 | $13,830.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $160.49 | 86 | $13,801.71 | $13,943.90 |
$-28.81 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.32 | 89 | $13,823.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $155.48 | 89 | $13,837.72 | $13,958.58 |
+$14.68 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $162.94 | 85 | $13,849.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $166.17 | 85 | $14,124.03 | $14,232.71 |
+$274.13 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $170.98 | 83 | $14,191.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $172.87 | 83 | $14,348.25 | $14,389.62 |
+$156.91 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $165.24 | 87 | $14,375.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $166.33 | 87 | $14,470.71 | $14,484.45 |
+$94.83 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $169.74 | 85 | $14,427.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $169.47 | 85 | $14,405.21 | $14,462.18 |
$-22.27 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $175.93 | 82 | $14,426.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $179.02 | 82 | $14,679.23 | $14,715.15 |
+$252.97 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $177.99 | 82 | $14,595.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:10pm ET | $177.35 | 82 | $14,542.70 | $14,662.67 |
$-52.48 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $178.40 | 82 | $14,628.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $178.04 | 82 | $14,598.87 | $14,632.74 |
$-29.93 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $178.54 | 81 | $14,462.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $178.42 | 81 | $14,452.08 | $14,622.67 |
$-10.07 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $182.41 | 80 | $14,593.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $181.34 | 80 | $14,507.00 | $14,536.47 |
$-86.20 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $182.35 | 79 | $14,405.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $182.13 | 79 | $14,388.66 | $14,519.49 |
$-16.99 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $181.34 | 80 | $14,506.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $181.05 | 80 | $14,484.40 | $14,497.09 |
$-22.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.25 | 78 | $14,371.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $182.88 | 78 | $14,264.64 | $14,390.23 |
$-106.86 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $182.48 | 78 | $14,233.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $182.98 | 78 | $14,272.05 | $14,429.23 |
+$39.00 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $186.74 | 77 | $14,378.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $189.57 | 77 | $14,596.89 | $14,647.53 |
+$218.30 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $189.06 | 77 | $14,557.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $188.28 | 77 | $14,497.56 | $14,587.47 |
$-60.06 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $185.24 | 78 | $14,449.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $177.81 | 78 | $13,869.18 | $14,007.54 |
$-579.93 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $178.70 | 78 | $13,938.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $178.21 | 78 | $13,900.77 | $13,969.71 |
$-37.83 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $167.48 | 83 | $13,900.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $166.47 | 83 | $13,817.00 | $13,885.87 |
$-83.84 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.10 | 78 | $13,736.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $175.53 | 78 | $13,691.34 | $13,841.02 |
$-44.85 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $163.46 | 84 | $13,730.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $162.96 | 84 | $13,688.64 | $13,799.02 |
$-42.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $164.20 | 84 | $13,792.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $165.69 | 84 | $13,917.96 | $13,924.18 |
+$125.16 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.64 | 84 | $13,913.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $165.30 | 84 | $13,885.20 | $13,895.62 |
$-28.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.39 | 84 | $13,808.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $164.69 | 84 | $13,833.96 | $13,920.82 |
+$25.20 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $157.08 | 88 | $13,823.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $156.96 | 88 | $13,812.48 | $13,910.26 |
$-10.56 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $159.40 | 87 | $13,867.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $159.55 | 87 | $13,880.85 | $13,923.61 |
+$13.35 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $161.24 | 86 | $13,866.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.18 | 86 | $13,689.48 | $13,746.45 |
$-177.16 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $158.37 | 86 | $13,619.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.42 | 86 | $13,366.12 | $13,492.75 |
$-253.70 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $157.62 | 85 | $13,397.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $163.66 | 85 | $13,911.10 | $14,006.22 |
+$513.47 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $163.91 | 85 | $13,932.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $163.65 | 85 | $13,910.25 | $13,983.70 |
$-22.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $164.96 | 84 | $13,857.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $166.34 | 84 | $13,972.14 | $14,098.78 |
+$115.08 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,098.78
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,098.78
Total Return:
+40.99%