PYPL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-6.13%
Year to Date Return
$9,506.27
Current Value
19%
Win Rate
$10,127.38
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.8%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,002
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,127.38
Current Value
$9,506.27
Period P&L
$-621.09
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
8 /
34
Best Trade
+8.26%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$828,703.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-621.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-621.09
Gross Return
-6.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,127.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $58.46 | 173 | $10,113.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.13 | 173 | $10,055.63 | $10,069.40 |
$-57.96 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $59.79 | 168 | $10,044.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $59.56 | 168 | $10,005.24 | $10,029.92 |
$-39.48 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $58.84 | 170 | $10,001.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $58.69 | 170 | $9,977.32 | $10,005.29 |
$-24.63 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $57.79 | 173 | $9,998.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $57.67 | 173 | $9,976.05 | $9,982.88 |
$-22.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $57.30 | 174 | $9,970.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.08 | 174 | $9,931.92 | $9,944.60 |
$-38.28 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.74 | 175 | $9,929.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $57.26 | 175 | $10,019.92 | $10,035.02 |
+$90.42 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $56.65 | 177 | $10,026.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $56.60 | 177 | $10,018.20 | $10,027.06 |
$-7.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.88 | 179 | $10,001.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $55.66 | 179 | $9,962.39 | $9,987.82 |
$-39.24 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $57.16 | 174 | $9,945.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.82 | 174 | $9,886.68 | $9,928.66 |
$-59.16 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $56.82 | 174 | $9,885.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $56.66 | 174 | $9,857.97 | $9,900.82 |
$-27.84 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.49 | 178 | $9,876.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.82 | 178 | $9,757.96 | $9,782.45 |
$-118.37 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $53.21 | 183 | $9,736.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $52.94 | 183 | $9,687.11 | $9,733.04 |
$-49.41 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $52.48 | 185 | $9,708.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $52.31 | 185 | $9,676.43 | $9,700.67 |
$-32.37 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $42.45 | 228 | $9,678.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $41.89 | 228 | $9,550.92 | $9,572.99 |
$-127.68 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $39.83 | 240 | $9,558.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $39.74 | 240 | $9,537.60 | $9,552.59 |
$-20.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.54 | 235 | $9,526.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $41.01 | 235 | $9,637.35 | $9,663.04 |
+$110.45 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $40.32 | 239 | $9,636.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $40.16 | 239 | $9,598.24 | $9,624.80 |
$-38.24 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $41.15 | 233 | $9,589.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $41.59 | 233 | $9,690.47 | $9,726.16 |
+$101.36 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $41.88 | 232 | $9,715.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $41.85 | 232 | $9,709.20 | $9,720.36 |
$-5.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $43.69 | 222 | $9,699.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.30 | 222 | $10,500.60 | $10,521.78 |
+$801.42 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $45.58 | 230 | $10,484.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $45.58 | 230 | $10,484.55 | $10,521.78 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $46.58 | 225 | $10,479.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.47 | 225 | $10,454.63 | $10,497.03 |
$-24.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $47.57 | 220 | $10,465.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.27 | 220 | $10,399.40 | $10,431.03 |
$-66.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $45.82 | 227 | $10,400.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $45.51 | 227 | $10,331.90 | $10,362.09 |
$-68.94 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.49 | 227 | $10,326.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $45.06 | 227 | $10,228.62 | $10,264.48 |
$-97.61 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $44.79 | 229 | $10,258.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $44.85 | 229 | $10,270.65 | $10,277.08 |
+$12.60 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $45.63 | 225 | $10,267.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $44.74 | 225 | $10,067.62 | $10,076.83 |
$-200.25 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $44.06 | 228 | $10,045.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $43.97 | 228 | $10,025.16 | $10,056.31 |
$-20.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $45.30 | 221 | $10,011.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.91 | 221 | $9,925.11 | $9,970.12 |
$-86.19 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.08 | 221 | $9,962.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $44.63 | 221 | $9,863.23 | $9,870.67 |
$-99.45 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $45.14 | 218 | $9,840.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.77 | 218 | $9,759.86 | $9,790.01 |
$-80.66 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:30pm ET | $44.89 | 218 | $9,786.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.62 | 218 | $9,727.16 | $9,731.15 |
$-58.86 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $45.95 | 211 | $9,695.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $45.70 | 211 | $9,642.70 | $9,678.40 |
$-52.75 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.10 | 209 | $9,634.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $45.62 | 209 | $9,534.58 | $9,578.08 |
$-100.32 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $48.10 | 199 | $9,571.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.56 | 199 | $9,662.45 | $9,668.63 |
+$90.55 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $50.77 | 190 | $9,646.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.65 | 190 | $9,622.55 | $9,644.88 |
$-23.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $51.29 | 188 | $9,642.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $50.91 | 188 | $9,571.08 | $9,573.44 |
$-71.44 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $49.78 | 192 | $9,557.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.75 | 192 | $9,552.00 | $9,567.68 |
$-5.76 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $50.08 | 191 | $9,565.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $49.88 | 191 | $9,527.08 | $9,529.48 |
$-38.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $50.32 | 189 | $9,510.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.05 | 189 | $9,459.45 | $9,478.45 |
$-51.03 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.87 | 186 | $9,461.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $50.54 | 186 | $9,400.46 | $9,417.09 |
$-61.36 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $45.88 | 205 | $9,404.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $46.31 | 205 | $9,493.55 | $9,506.27 |
+$89.18 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,506.27
Net Profit/Loss:
$-493.73
Total Return:
-4.94%