QQQ Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
-0.77%
Year to Date Return
$11,392.94
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$11,481.30
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 22.2
30-Day Momentum
40
+4.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.1
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,556
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,481.30
Current Value
$11,392.94
Period P&L
$-88.35
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
14 /
24
Best Trade
+3.12%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
16h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$833,754.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-88.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-88.35
Gross Return
-0.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,481.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $613.54 | 18 | $11,043.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $618.62 | 18 | $11,135.16 | $11,572.73 |
+$91.44 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $620.55 | 18 | $11,169.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $619.13 | 18 | $11,144.31 | $11,547.14 |
$-25.59 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $627.07 | 18 | $11,287.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $627.88 | 18 | $11,301.84 | $11,561.72 |
+$14.58 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $626.13 | 18 | $11,270.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $623.19 | 18 | $11,217.42 | $11,508.80 |
$-52.92 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $626.00 | 18 | $11,268.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $624.70 | 18 | $11,244.60 | $11,485.40 |
$-23.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $622.07 | 18 | $11,197.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $621.43 | 18 | $11,185.74 | $11,473.97 |
$-11.43 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $610.46 | 18 | $10,988.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $611.17 | 18 | $11,001.06 | $11,486.75 |
+$12.78 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $622.21 | 18 | $11,199.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $622.62 | 18 | $11,207.16 | $11,494.13 |
+$7.38 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $626.79 | 18 | $11,282.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $626.38 | 18 | $11,274.84 | $11,486.75 |
$-7.38 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $635.36 | 18 | $11,436.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $633.50 | 18 | $11,403.00 | $11,453.27 |
$-33.48 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $624.91 | 18 | $11,248.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $625.21 | 18 | $11,253.78 | $11,458.76 |
+$5.49 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $615.26 | 18 | $11,074.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $610.44 | 18 | $10,987.92 | $11,372.00 |
$-86.76 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $600.54 | 18 | $10,809.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $599.18 | 18 | $10,785.24 | $11,347.52 |
$-24.48 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $609.75 | 18 | $10,975.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $614.93 | 18 | $11,068.74 | $11,440.76 |
+$93.24 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $614.78 | 18 | $11,066.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $610.83 | 18 | $10,994.94 | $11,369.57 |
$-71.19 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $604.99 | 18 | $10,889.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $604.01 | 18 | $10,872.09 | $11,351.84 |
$-17.73 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $607.82 | 18 | $10,940.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $606.75 | 18 | $10,921.50 | $11,332.58 |
$-19.26 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $601.82 | 18 | $10,832.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $600.71 | 18 | $10,812.78 | $11,312.60 |
$-19.98 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $607.90 | 18 | $10,942.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $602.99 | 18 | $10,853.82 | $11,224.31 |
$-88.29 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $598.33 | 18 | $10,769.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $601.49 | 18 | $10,826.82 | $11,281.19 |
+$56.88 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $610.23 | 18 | $10,984.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $600.02 | 18 | $10,800.36 | $11,097.41 |
$-183.78 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $597.72 | 18 | $10,758.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $598.63 | 18 | $10,775.34 | $11,113.79 |
+$16.38 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $610.75 | 18 | $10,993.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $608.64 | 18 | $10,955.52 | $11,075.81 |
$-37.98 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $595.04 | 18 | $10,710.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $594.09 | 18 | $10,693.62 | $11,058.71 |
$-17.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $603.11 | 18 | $10,855.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $603.55 | 18 | $10,863.90 | $11,066.63 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $600.83 | 18 | $10,814.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $599.30 | 18 | $10,787.40 | $11,039.09 |
$-27.54 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $587.31 | 18 | $10,571.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $589.13 | 18 | $10,604.34 | $11,071.85 |
+$32.76 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.25 | 18 | $10,606.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $586.87 | 18 | $10,563.66 | $11,029.01 |
$-42.84 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $567.08 | 19 | $10,774.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $563.01 | 19 | $10,697.19 | $10,951.68 |
$-77.33 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $584.91 | 18 | $10,528.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $581.61 | 18 | $10,468.98 | $10,892.26 |
$-59.42 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $587.70 | 18 | $10,578.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $606.02 | 18 | $10,908.36 | $11,222.04 |
+$329.78 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $610.84 | 18 | $10,995.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.78 | 18 | $10,976.04 | $11,202.87 |
$-19.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $626.76 | 17 | $10,654.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $639.94 | 17 | $10,878.98 | $11,426.93 |
+$224.06 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $648.24 | 17 | $11,020.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $646.62 | 17 | $10,992.54 | $11,399.39 |
$-27.54 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $654.12 | 17 | $11,120.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $654.21 | 17 | $11,121.49 | $11,400.84 |
+$1.45 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $662.53 | 17 | $11,263.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $663.04 | 17 | $11,271.68 | $11,409.51 |
+$8.67 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $659.26 | 17 | $11,207.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $658.53 | 17 | $11,195.01 | $11,397.10 |
$-12.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $674.37 | 16 | $10,789.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $674.11 | 16 | $10,785.76 | $11,392.94 |
$-4.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,392.94
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,392.94
Total Return:
+13.93%