SLV Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+5.84%
Year to Date Return
$13,157.68
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$12,431.66
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
28.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 27.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,528
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,431.66
Current Value
$13,157.68
Period P&L
$726.02
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
15 /
26
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,068,631.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$726.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$726.02
Gross Return
+5.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,431.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:45pm ET | $64.57 | 190 | $12,269.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $65.10 | 190 | $12,368.05 | $12,408.05 |
+$98.99 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $69.48 | 178 | $12,367.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.29 | 178 | $12,332.73 | $12,373.34 |
$-34.71 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $73.21 | 169 | $12,372.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 169 | $11,842.42 | $11,843.27 |
$-530.07 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $69.06 | 171 | $11,808.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.68 | 171 | $11,744.28 | $11,779.13 |
$-64.14 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $72.50 | 162 | $11,744.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $72.38 | 162 | $11,724.75 | $11,759.69 |
$-19.44 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.82 | 147 | $11,733.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $79.59 | 147 | $11,699.72 | $11,725.85 |
$-33.84 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $82.88 | 141 | $11,685.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.37 | 141 | $11,473.17 | $11,513.65 |
$-212.20 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $80.60 | 142 | $11,445.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $85.45 | 142 | $12,133.89 | $12,202.33 |
+$688.69 (+6.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $83.87 | 145 | $12,161.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $86.90 | 145 | $12,600.50 | $12,641.68 |
+$439.35 (+3.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $98.79 | 127 | $12,546.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $97.60 | 127 | $12,395.73 | $12,491.06 |
$-150.62 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $103.06 | 121 | $12,470.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $101.35 | 121 | $12,263.35 | $12,284.15 |
$-206.91 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $77.94 | 157 | $12,236.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $76.27 | 157 | $11,974.39 | $12,021.96 |
$-262.19 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $76.93 | 156 | $12,001.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $75.93 | 156 | $11,845.86 | $11,866.74 |
$-155.22 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $69.84 | 169 | $11,803.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $68.61 | 169 | $11,595.93 | $11,659.50 |
$-207.25 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.20 | 166 | $11,653.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $74.63 | 166 | $12,387.75 | $12,394.21 |
+$734.72 (+6.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $73.49 | 168 | $12,346.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $73.18 | 168 | $12,293.40 | $12,341.36 |
$-52.85 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.49 | 177 | $12,299.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $70.13 | 177 | $12,413.03 | $12,454.66 |
+$113.30 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $70.58 | 176 | $12,422.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $76.30 | 176 | $13,428.59 | $13,461.17 |
+$1,006.51 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $79.70 | 168 | $13,389.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $79.30 | 168 | $13,322.40 | $13,393.99 |
$-67.18 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $78.88 | 169 | $13,330.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $83.76 | 169 | $14,156.28 | $14,219.56 |
+$825.57 (+6.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 2:45pm ET | $75.60 | 188 | $14,212.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $75.32 | 188 | $14,161.10 | $14,167.86 |
$-51.70 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $74.44 | 190 | $14,143.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $75.93 | 190 | $14,426.70 | $14,450.96 |
+$283.10 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $77.31 | 186 | $14,379.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $77.55 | 186 | $14,424.30 | $14,495.60 |
+$44.64 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.51 | 197 | $14,482.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $73.11 | 197 | $14,403.65 | $14,416.80 |
$-78.80 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $72.16 | 199 | $14,360.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $72.04 | 199 | $14,334.97 | $14,390.95 |
$-25.85 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $63.96 | 224 | $14,327.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $64.51 | 224 | $14,451.36 | $14,515.27 |
+$124.32 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $62.24 | 233 | $14,501.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $62.40 | 233 | $14,540.36 | $14,553.71 |
+$38.44 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $62.97 | 231 | $14,547.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $62.88 | 231 | $14,525.30 | $14,531.79 |
$-21.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.50 | 225 | $14,512.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.96 | 225 | $14,391.00 | $14,410.29 |
$-121.50 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $68.46 | 210 | $14,375.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 210 | $13,360.83 | $13,395.57 |
$-1,014.72 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $65.89 | 203 | $13,374.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $65.54 | 203 | $13,304.62 | $13,325.53 |
$-70.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.69 | 205 | $13,261.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.74 | 205 | $13,270.68 | $13,334.98 |
+$9.45 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.94 | 193 | $13,306.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $68.86 | 193 | $13,290.94 | $13,319.54 |
$-15.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $67.50 | 197 | $13,297.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $67.86 | 197 | $13,368.42 | $13,390.72 |
+$71.18 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $71.89 | 186 | $13,370.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $72.10 | 186 | $13,410.60 | $13,430.71 |
+$39.99 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.47 | 187 | $13,364.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $71.27 | 187 | $13,327.49 | $13,393.29 |
$-37.42 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $72.38 | 185 | $13,390.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $72.19 | 185 | $13,356.07 | $13,359.07 |
$-34.22 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $70.40 | 189 | $13,305.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $70.29 | 189 | $13,283.87 | $13,337.32 |
$-21.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $69.17 | 192 | $13,280.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.80 | 192 | $13,209.60 | $13,266.28 |
$-71.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $68.01 | 195 | $13,262.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 195 | $12,807.60 | $12,810.96 |
$-455.32 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $64.71 | 197 | $12,747.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $66.47 | 197 | $13,094.59 | $13,157.68 |
+$346.72 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,157.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,157.68
Total Return:
+31.58%