SPXU Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-8.54%
Year to Date Return
$7,647.16
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$8,361.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality
2.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 2.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.1%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,361.00
Current Value
$7,647.16
Period P&L
$-713.86
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
13 /
30
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$703,010.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-713.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-713.86
Gross Return
-8.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,361.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.48 | 172 | $8,338.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $48.36 | 172 | $8,317.92 | $8,340.36 |
$-20.64 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $47.83 | 174 | $8,322.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $47.59 | 174 | $8,280.66 | $8,298.64 |
$-41.73 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
36m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.21 | 172 | $8,291.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.19 | 172 | $8,288.68 | $8,296.04 |
$-2.60 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.31 | 175 | $8,279.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $47.32 | 175 | $8,280.98 | $8,297.77 |
+$1.73 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $47.36 | 175 | $8,287.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.40 | 175 | $8,295.00 | $8,304.81 |
+$7.03 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.37 | 175 | $8,289.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET | $47.21 | 175 | $8,261.75 | $8,276.81 |
$-28.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $47.79 | 173 | $8,267.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $47.67 | 173 | $8,246.91 | $8,256.05 |
$-20.76 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $50.14 | 164 | $8,222.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $50.10 | 164 | $8,216.38 | $8,249.47 |
$-6.58 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.17 | 171 | $8,237.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $48.31 | 171 | $8,261.01 | $8,273.41 |
+$23.94 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.59 | 173 | $8,233.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.40 | 173 | $8,200.18 | $8,240.52 |
$-32.89 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $47.06 | 175 | $8,235.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $47.09 | 175 | $8,240.75 | $8,245.60 |
+$5.08 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.96 | 171 | $8,201.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $47.70 | 171 | $8,156.70 | $8,201.14 |
$-44.46 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $47.20 | 173 | $8,165.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $48.90 | 173 | $8,459.70 | $8,495.24 |
+$294.10 (+3.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.33 | 168 | $8,455.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $50.29 | 168 | $8,448.72 | $8,488.50 |
$-6.74 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.34 | 179 | $8,473.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.31 | 179 | $8,468.49 | $8,483.13 |
$-5.37 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.96 | 176 | $8,440.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $47.74 | 176 | $8,402.24 | $8,444.41 |
$-38.72 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $50.57 | 166 | $8,394.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $50.11 | 166 | $8,318.26 | $8,368.05 |
$-76.36 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $48.83 | 171 | $8,349.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $49.00 | 171 | $8,379.02 | $8,397.14 |
+$29.09 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $49.37 | 170 | $8,392.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $48.94 | 170 | $8,319.80 | $8,324.04 |
$-73.10 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.16 | 165 | $8,276.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $49.01 | 165 | $8,085.83 | $8,133.38 |
$-190.66 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.86 | 163 | $8,127.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $49.35 | 163 | $8,044.05 | $8,050.25 |
$-83.13 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.37 | 163 | $8,046.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $51.52 | 163 | $8,397.76 | $8,401.35 |
+$351.10 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.70 | 159 | $8,379.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.78 | 159 | $8,232.23 | $8,254.28 |
$-147.07 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $53.29 | 154 | $8,206.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $52.97 | 154 | $8,157.38 | $8,205.00 |
$-49.28 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.96 | 157 | $8,157.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $51.69 | 157 | $8,115.68 | $8,162.95 |
$-42.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $53.69 | 152 | $8,160.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $54.35 | 152 | $8,261.96 | $8,264.03 |
+$101.08 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $53.24 | 155 | $8,252.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.20 | 155 | $8,091.02 | $8,102.07 |
$-161.96 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $54.08 | 149 | $8,057.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $55.88 | 149 | $8,326.12 | $8,370.27 |
+$268.20 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $55.73 | 150 | $8,359.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $55.66 | 150 | $8,349.00 | $8,359.77 |
$-10.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $56.57 | 147 | $8,315.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.67 | 147 | $8,036.49 | $8,080.47 |
$-279.30 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $61.12 | 132 | $8,067.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $60.90 | 132 | $8,038.80 | $8,051.44 |
$-29.03 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $55.03 | 146 | $8,034.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $55.16 | 146 | $8,053.36 | $8,070.42 |
+$18.98 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.49 | 145 | $8,046.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $54.87 | 145 | $7,956.15 | $7,979.80 |
$-90.63 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $50.77 | 157 | $7,970.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $50.62 | 157 | $7,947.34 | $7,956.25 |
$-23.55 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $49.53 | 160 | $7,924.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $49.68 | 160 | $7,948.80 | $7,980.25 |
+$24.00 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.69 | 174 | $7,950.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $45.47 | 174 | $7,912.65 | $7,942.84 |
$-37.41 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $43.60 | 182 | $7,935.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.53 | 182 | $7,922.46 | $7,930.10 |
$-12.74 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.83 | 180 | $7,888.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $44.28 | 180 | $7,970.40 | $8,012.00 |
+$81.90 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $43.56 | 183 | $7,971.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $43.45 | 183 | $7,951.35 | $7,991.87 |
$-20.13 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $43.00 | 185 | $7,954.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.94 | 185 | $7,943.90 | $7,980.79 |
$-11.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $43.56 | 183 | $7,971.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $43.61 | 183 | $7,980.63 | $7,989.48 |
+$8.69 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $41.47 | 192 | $7,962.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $41.43 | 192 | $7,954.56 | $7,981.80 |
$-7.68 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $42.35 | 188 | $7,961.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.57 | 188 | $7,627.16 | $7,647.16 |
$-334.64 (-4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,647.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,352.84
Total Return:
-23.53%