SQQQ Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+3.21%
Year to Date Return
$11,106.94
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,761.94
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
15.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 14.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2
Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,587
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,761.94
Current Value
$11,106.94
Period P&L
$345.00
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+9.83%
Worst Trade
-4.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$870,095.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$345.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$345.00
Gross Return
+3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,761.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $67.15 | 160 | $10,744.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $67.28 | 160 | $10,764.00 | $10,781.95 |
+$20.00 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $64.67 | 166 | $10,734.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $66.56 | 166 | $11,048.13 | $11,095.69 |
+$313.74 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.22 | 170 | $11,087.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $64.57 | 170 | $10,976.88 | $10,985.19 |
$-110.50 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $64.90 | 169 | $10,967.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $64.87 | 169 | $10,963.03 | $10,980.96 |
$-4.22 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $65.09 | 168 | $10,935.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $64.91 | 168 | $10,904.88 | $10,950.72 |
$-30.24 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $66.57 | 164 | $10,916.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $66.27 | 164 | $10,868.28 | $10,902.34 |
$-48.38 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $69.71 | 156 | $10,875.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $69.55 | 156 | $10,850.08 | $10,877.29 |
$-25.05 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $66.37 | 163 | $10,818.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $66.09 | 163 | $10,772.23 | $10,831.21 |
$-46.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $64.80 | 167 | $10,820.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $64.66 | 167 | $10,798.62 | $10,809.06 |
$-22.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.34 | 170 | $10,767.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.07 | 170 | $10,552.53 | $10,593.78 |
$-215.29 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $65.15 | 162 | $10,554.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $65.67 | 162 | $10,637.73 | $10,677.21 |
+$83.43 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $64.49 | 165 | $10,640.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $68.31 | 165 | $11,271.89 | $11,309.07 |
+$631.87 (+5.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.15 | 154 | $11,265.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $73.30 | 154 | $11,287.89 | $11,331.86 |
+$22.79 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $68.21 | 166 | $11,322.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $68.14 | 166 | $11,310.82 | $11,320.66 |
$-11.21 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $69.61 | 162 | $11,277.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $68.97 | 162 | $11,173.16 | $11,216.56 |
$-104.10 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $74.22 | 151 | $11,207.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.81 | 151 | $10,692.31 | $10,701.65 |
$-514.91 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $71.85 | 148 | $10,633.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $71.70 | 148 | $10,611.58 | $10,680.17 |
$-21.48 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $71.14 | 150 | $10,671.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $70.51 | 150 | $10,577.25 | $10,586.00 |
$-94.17 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.28 | 146 | $10,552.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $70.83 | 146 | $10,340.90 | $10,374.02 |
$-211.98 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.73 | 144 | $10,329.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $73.99 | 144 | $10,654.57 | $10,699.47 |
+$325.45 (+3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $69.36 | 154 | $10,682.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $69.26 | 154 | $10,666.04 | $10,683.41 |
$-16.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $72.08 | 148 | $10,667.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $71.61 | 148 | $10,597.92 | $10,613.49 |
$-69.92 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $73.96 | 143 | $10,576.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $73.51 | 143 | $10,511.93 | $10,549.14 |
$-64.35 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $70.40 | 149 | $10,490.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $69.87 | 149 | $10,410.63 | $10,469.43 |
$-79.71 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $75.58 | 138 | $10,430.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.39 | 138 | $10,127.82 | $10,167.21 |
$-302.22 (-2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $72.03 | 141 | $10,156.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $72.00 | 141 | $10,151.96 | $10,162.94 |
$-4.27 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $77.25 | 131 | $10,119.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $78.25 | 131 | $10,250.10 | $10,293.27 |
+$130.33 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.00 | 133 | $10,241.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $78.17 | 133 | $10,396.61 | $10,448.88 |
+$155.61 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $76.58 | 136 | $10,414.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.11 | 136 | $11,438.96 | $11,472.96 |
+$1,024.08 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $87.22 | 131 | $11,425.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $86.67 | 131 | $11,353.53 | $11,400.67 |
$-72.29 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $78.63 | 144 | $11,322.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $78.10 | 144 | $11,246.40 | $11,324.35 |
$-76.32 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $69.25 | 163 | $11,287.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.20 | 163 | $11,279.60 | $11,316.75 |
$-7.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $67.48 | 167 | $11,269.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $67.69 | 167 | $11,305.06 | $11,352.64 |
+$35.89 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $62.91 | 180 | $11,323.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $62.50 | 180 | $11,250.36 | $11,279.45 |
$-73.19 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $58.72 | 192 | $11,275.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $58.76 | 192 | $11,282.88 | $11,287.13 |
+$7.68 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $57.07 | 197 | $11,242.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $57.10 | 197 | $11,247.72 | $11,292.07 |
+$4.94 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.14 | 204 | $11,248.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $54.99 | 204 | $11,217.96 | $11,261.49 |
$-30.58 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.87 | 213 | $11,260.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $52.87 | 213 | $11,261.31 | $11,262.55 |
+$1.06 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.22 | 207 | $11,223.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $53.65 | 207 | $11,106.58 | $11,145.59 |
$-116.96 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $50.22 | 221 | $11,098.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $50.04 | 221 | $11,059.94 | $11,106.94 |
$-38.65 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,106.94
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,106.94
Total Return:
+11.07%