TMO Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
-12.09%
Year to Date Return
$8,501.95
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$9,671.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.4
30-Day Momentum
7
-8.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,828
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,671.58
Current Value
$8,501.95
Period P&L
$-1,169.62
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
13 /
28
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-9.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$774,303.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,169.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,169.62
Gross Return
-12.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,671.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $589.77 | 16 | $9,436.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $618.32 | 16 | $9,893.12 | $10,128.36 |
+$456.80 (+4.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $619.43 | 16 | $9,910.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $618.02 | 16 | $9,888.32 | $10,105.76 |
$-22.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $613.13 | 16 | $9,810.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $605.26 | 16 | $9,684.08 | $9,979.76 |
$-126.00 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $609.62 | 16 | $9,753.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $612.78 | 16 | $9,804.48 | $10,030.32 |
+$50.56 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $617.37 | 16 | $9,877.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $626.31 | 16 | $10,020.96 | $10,173.36 |
+$143.04 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $617.00 | 16 | $9,872.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $616.74 | 16 | $9,867.84 | $10,169.20 |
$-4.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $639.19 | 15 | $9,587.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $638.32 | 15 | $9,574.80 | $10,156.15 |
$-13.05 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $626.35 | 16 | $10,021.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $630.41 | 16 | $10,086.56 | $10,221.19 |
+$65.04 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $626.19 | 16 | $10,018.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $624.31 | 16 | $9,988.96 | $10,191.19 |
$-30.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $611.41 | 16 | $9,782.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $609.30 | 16 | $9,748.80 | $10,157.43 |
$-33.76 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $592.42 | 17 | $10,071.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $584.93 | 17 | $9,943.73 | $10,030.02 |
$-127.42 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $579.65 | 17 | $9,854.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $581.53 | 17 | $9,886.01 | $10,061.98 |
+$31.96 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $573.32 | 17 | $9,746.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $571.22 | 17 | $9,710.74 | $10,026.36 |
$-35.62 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $554.73 | 18 | $9,985.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $553.36 | 18 | $9,960.57 | $10,001.70 |
$-24.66 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $543.61 | 18 | $9,785.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $543.77 | 18 | $9,787.86 | $10,004.49 |
+$2.79 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $527.11 | 18 | $9,487.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $524.76 | 18 | $9,445.68 | $9,962.19 |
$-42.30 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $505.78 | 19 | $9,609.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $503.69 | 19 | $9,570.11 | $9,922.48 |
$-39.71 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $511.85 | 19 | $9,725.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $509.96 | 19 | $9,689.24 | $9,886.57 |
$-35.91 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $511.16 | 19 | $9,712.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $517.47 | 19 | $9,831.93 | $10,006.46 |
+$119.89 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $513.69 | 19 | $9,760.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $514.96 | 19 | $9,784.24 | $10,030.59 |
+$24.13 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $508.14 | 19 | $9,654.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $508.59 | 19 | $9,663.21 | $10,039.14 |
+$8.55 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $512.48 | 19 | $9,737.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $504.61 | 19 | $9,587.59 | $9,889.61 |
$-149.53 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $503.17 | 19 | $9,560.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $502.47 | 19 | $9,546.93 | $9,876.31 |
$-13.30 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $502.83 | 19 | $9,553.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $501.14 | 19 | $9,521.75 | $9,844.20 |
$-32.11 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $477.81 | 20 | $9,556.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $465.91 | 20 | $9,318.20 | $9,606.20 |
$-238.00 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $470.82 | 20 | $9,416.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $474.50 | 20 | $9,490.00 | $9,679.80 |
+$73.60 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $467.42 | 20 | $9,348.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $463.39 | 20 | $9,267.80 | $9,599.20 |
$-80.60 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.74 | 19 | $9,229.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $479.30 | 19 | $9,106.79 | $9,476.94 |
$-122.26 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.24 | 19 | $9,447.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $488.27 | 19 | $9,277.13 | $9,306.51 |
$-170.43 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $493.10 | 18 | $8,875.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $491.56 | 18 | $8,848.08 | $9,278.88 |
$-27.63 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $481.17 | 19 | $9,142.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $482.41 | 19 | $9,165.79 | $9,302.44 |
+$23.56 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $497.81 | 18 | $8,960.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $497.18 | 18 | $8,949.24 | $9,291.10 |
$-11.34 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $485.63 | 19 | $9,226.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $482.04 | 19 | $9,158.76 | $9,222.93 |
$-68.17 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $502.76 | 18 | $9,049.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.42 | 18 | $8,953.56 | $9,126.90 |
$-96.03 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $502.84 | 18 | $9,051.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $522.44 | 18 | $9,403.92 | $9,479.70 |
+$352.80 (+3.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $528.22 | 17 | $8,979.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $528.97 | 17 | $8,992.49 | $9,492.36 |
+$12.66 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $517.29 | 18 | $9,311.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.67 | 18 | $8,471.97 | $8,653.11 |
$-839.25 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $473.77 | 18 | $8,527.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $467.35 | 18 | $8,412.30 | $8,537.46 |
$-115.65 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:40pm ET | $468.69 | 18 | $8,436.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $467.60 | 18 | $8,416.80 | $8,517.84 |
$-19.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $471.02 | 18 | $8,478.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $470.23 | 18 | $8,464.18 | $8,503.75 |
$-14.09 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $465.79 | 18 | $8,384.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $465.69 | 18 | $8,382.42 | $8,501.95 |
$-1.80 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,501.95
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,498.05
Total Return:
-14.98%