USO Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+33.93%
Year to Date Return
$14,415.58
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,763.31
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
34.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.3
30-Day Momentum
11
-12.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,923
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,763.31
Current Value
$14,415.58
Period P&L
$3,652.28
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
19 /
22
Best Trade
+13.05%
Worst Trade
-15.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
17.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,065,790.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,652.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,652.28
Gross Return
+33.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,763.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $68.65 | 156 | $10,709.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.73 | 156 | $10,877.88 | $10,931.78 |
+$168.48 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $67.62 | 161 | $10,886.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $71.43 | 161 | $11,500.23 | $11,545.19 |
+$613.41 (+5.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $71.27 | 161 | $11,474.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $73.39 | 161 | $11,815.79 | $11,886.51 |
+$341.32 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $71.48 | 166 | $11,864.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $71.29 | 166 | $11,834.14 | $11,855.80 |
$-30.71 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.91 | 162 | $11,811.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $72.82 | 162 | $11,796.84 | $11,841.22 |
$-14.58 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $73.24 | 161 | $11,791.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.06 | 161 | $11,600.86 | $11,650.44 |
$-190.78 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $73.45 | 158 | $11,605.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.36 | 158 | $11,590.88 | $11,636.22 |
$-14.22 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.15 | 152 | $11,574.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $78.81 | 152 | $11,979.12 | $12,040.54 |
+$404.32 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $78.67 | 153 | $12,036.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.31 | 153 | $11,522.43 | $11,526.46 |
$-514.08 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $76.77 | 150 | $11,515.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $75.90 | 150 | $11,385.00 | $11,395.96 |
$-130.50 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $76.97 | 148 | $11,391.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.76 | 148 | $11,360.48 | $11,364.88 |
$-31.08 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.77 | 146 | $11,354.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $78.14 | 146 | $11,408.44 | $11,418.90 |
+$54.02 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $77.82 | 146 | $11,361.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $78.73 | 146 | $11,494.58 | $11,551.76 |
+$132.86 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $76.42 | 151 | $11,539.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $75.60 | 151 | $11,415.60 | $11,427.94 |
$-123.82 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $80.93 | 141 | $11,411.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.50 | 141 | $11,351.20 | $11,368.01 |
$-59.93 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.53 | 139 | $11,332.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $80.97 | 139 | $11,254.83 | $11,290.17 |
$-77.84 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $80.63 | 140 | $11,288.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.88 | 140 | $11,183.20 | $11,185.17 |
$-105.00 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $79.91 | 139 | $11,107.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $80.56 | 139 | $11,197.84 | $11,275.52 |
+$90.35 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $86.25 | 130 | $11,212.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.02 | 130 | $12,222.60 | $12,285.62 |
+$1,010.10 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $90.73 | 135 | $12,248.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $89.65 | 135 | $12,102.75 | $12,139.82 |
$-145.80 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.40 | 115 | $12,121.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.16 | 115 | $13,703.40 | $13,721.65 |
+$1,581.83 (+13.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $103.31 | 132 | $13,636.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $106.46 | 132 | $14,052.72 | $14,137.45 |
+$415.80 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $117.08 | 120 | $14,049.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $119.04 | 120 | $14,284.20 | $14,372.06 |
+$234.61 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.10 | 122 | $14,285.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $116.41 | 122 | $14,202.12 | $14,288.59 |
$-83.47 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $120.11 | 118 | $14,173.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $119.77 | 118 | $14,132.86 | $14,248.00 |
$-40.59 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $113.20 | 125 | $14,150.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $111.33 | 125 | $13,916.13 | $14,014.13 |
$-233.87 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $111.78 | 125 | $13,972.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $117.68 | 125 | $14,710.00 | $14,751.63 |
+$737.50 (+5.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $128.65 | 114 | $14,666.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $128.62 | 114 | $14,662.68 | $14,748.21 |
$-3.42 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $124.78 | 118 | $14,724.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.90 | 118 | $16,390.20 | $16,414.37 |
+$1,666.16 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $138.67 | 118 | $16,363.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $139.21 | 118 | $16,426.78 | $16,478.10 |
+$63.73 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $141.60 | 116 | $16,425.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.21 | 116 | $13,827.90 | $13,880.42 |
$-2,597.68 (-15.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $126.14 | 110 | $13,875.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $126.72 | 110 | $13,939.20 | $13,944.22 |
+$63.80 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $123.83 | 112 | $13,868.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.15 | 112 | $13,792.40 | $13,867.66 |
$-76.56 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.11 | 111 | $13,776.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $127.12 | 111 | $14,110.32 | $14,201.77 |
+$334.11 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $122.55 | 115 | $14,093.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $125.57 | 115 | $14,440.54 | $14,549.06 |
+$347.29 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $130.19 | 111 | $14,451.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $129.83 | 111 | $14,411.13 | $14,509.10 |
$-39.96 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $131.71 | 110 | $14,488.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $134.43 | 110 | $14,787.30 | $14,808.30 |
+$299.20 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $139.38 | 106 | $14,774.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $139.64 | 106 | $14,801.84 | $14,835.86 |
+$27.56 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET | $146.63 | 101 | $14,809.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.40 | 101 | $14,483.40 | $14,509.63 |
$-326.23 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $147.69 | 98 | $14,473.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.49 | 98 | $14,454.02 | $14,490.03 |
$-19.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $134.32 | 107 | $14,371.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $133.62 | 107 | $14,297.34 | $14,415.58 |
$-74.45 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,415.58
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,415.58
Total Return:
+44.16%