UVXY Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
-11.75%
Year to Date Return
$14,372.71
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$16,286.50
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
25.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 25.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-9.5%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,286.50
Current Value
$14,372.71
Period P&L
$-1,913.79
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
10 /
37
Best Trade
+10.35%
Worst Trade
-5.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,405,348.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,913.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,913.79
Gross Return
-11.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $16,286.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:40pm ET | $35.31 | 454 | $16,030.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.15 | 454 | $15,958.10 | $15,992.83 |
$-72.64 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $35.11 | 455 | $15,975.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $34.90 | 455 | $15,879.50 | $15,897.28 |
$-95.55 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $35.07 | 453 | $15,886.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $34.89 | 453 | $15,802.91 | $15,813.48 |
$-83.81 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $35.50 | 445 | $15,795.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $35.17 | 445 | $15,648.43 | $15,666.63 |
$-146.85 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $34.29 | 456 | $15,636.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $34.25 | 456 | $15,615.72 | $15,646.11 |
$-20.52 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $34.65 | 451 | $15,627.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $34.64 | 451 | $15,624.71 | $15,643.49 |
$-2.62 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $38.14 | 410 | $15,637.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $37.77 | 410 | $15,485.70 | $15,491.79 |
$-151.70 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $35.09 | 441 | $15,474.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $34.88 | 441 | $15,379.88 | $15,396.98 |
$-94.82 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $35.08 | 438 | $15,365.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $35.00 | 438 | $15,330.00 | $15,361.94 |
$-35.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $38.89 | 395 | $15,361.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $38.04 | 395 | $15,025.80 | $15,026.19 |
$-335.75 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $35.05 | 428 | $14,999.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $34.50 | 428 | $14,766.00 | $14,792.93 |
$-233.26 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $35.12 | 421 | $14,785.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $34.85 | 421 | $14,671.85 | $14,678.84 |
$-114.09 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $35.14 | 417 | $14,651.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $36.35 | 417 | $15,157.95 | $15,185.49 |
+$506.66 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $37.06 | 409 | $15,157.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $36.84 | 409 | $15,067.56 | $15,095.51 |
$-89.98 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $34.61 | 436 | $15,088.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $37.53 | 436 | $16,363.08 | $16,370.16 |
+$1,274.65 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.63 | 413 | $16,365.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $39.51 | 413 | $16,317.63 | $16,322.66 |
$-47.50 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $37.36 | 436 | $16,288.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $37.12 | 436 | $16,182.14 | $16,215.89 |
$-106.78 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $35.63 | 455 | $16,211.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $35.60 | 455 | $16,196.77 | $16,201.01 |
$-14.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $38.86 | 416 | $16,167.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.28 | 416 | $15,510.56 | $15,544.02 |
$-656.99 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $40.53 | 383 | $15,522.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $40.34 | 383 | $15,450.22 | $15,471.25 |
$-72.77 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $40.50 | 382 | $15,469.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $38.82 | 382 | $14,829.24 | $14,830.64 |
$-640.61 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $37.68 | 393 | $14,808.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $37.59 | 393 | $14,772.87 | $14,795.27 |
$-35.37 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 369 | $14,761.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $38.92 | 369 | $14,361.48 | $14,394.90 |
$-400.37 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $40.39 | 356 | $14,378.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $39.85 | 356 | $14,186.60 | $14,202.66 |
$-192.24 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.06 | 329 | $14,168.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.42 | 329 | $13,955.59 | $13,989.86 |
$-212.80 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.20 | 278 | $13,955.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $48.51 | 278 | $13,487.17 | $13,521.43 |
$-468.43 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.97 | 260 | $13,512.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $49.84 | 260 | $12,958.40 | $12,967.66 |
$-553.77 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $48.54 | 267 | $12,961.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $49.15 | 267 | $13,123.05 | $13,129.20 |
+$161.54 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:05pm ET | $51.87 | 253 | $13,123.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.47 | 253 | $12,515.88 | $12,521.97 |
$-607.23 (-4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $45.34 | 276 | $12,513.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $45.14 | 276 | $12,458.64 | $12,466.77 |
$-55.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $50.08 | 248 | $12,420.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.26 | 248 | $13,705.72 | $13,752.40 |
+$1,285.63 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.38 | 273 | $13,752.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $54.92 | 273 | $14,991.80 | $14,991.82 |
+$1,239.42 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $50.56 | 296 | $14,965.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $50.91 | 296 | $15,069.36 | $15,095.42 |
+$103.60 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.59 | 292 | $15,064.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.76 | 292 | $16,573.92 | $16,605.06 |
+$1,509.64 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $59.33 | 279 | $16,554.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 279 | $15,668.64 | $15,719.24 |
$-885.82 (-5.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $50.24 | 312 | $15,674.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $50.76 | 312 | $15,837.12 | $15,881.48 |
+$162.24 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $49.12 | 323 | $15,865.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $48.67 | 323 | $15,720.41 | $15,736.13 |
$-145.35 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $44.54 | 353 | $15,722.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $42.35 | 353 | $14,948.31 | $14,961.82 |
$-774.31 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $41.96 | 356 | $14,937.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $41.69 | 356 | $14,839.86 | $14,863.92 |
$-97.90 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $38.73 | 383 | $14,832.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $38.80 | 383 | $14,860.40 | $14,892.30 |
+$28.38 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $37.63 | 395 | $14,863.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $37.49 | 395 | $14,808.55 | $14,837.00 |
$-55.30 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $39.19 | 378 | $14,813.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 378 | $14,636.16 | $14,659.60 |
$-177.40 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.58 | 370 | $14,644.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $39.21 | 370 | $14,505.85 | $14,520.85 |
$-138.75 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $39.08 | 371 | $14,496.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $38.94 | 371 | $14,448.59 | $14,472.62 |
$-48.23 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.62 | 374 | $14,443.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $38.15 | 374 | $14,268.10 | $14,296.80 |
$-175.82 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.38 | 382 | $14,279.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $37.97 | 382 | $14,504.54 | $14,522.18 |
+$225.38 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $36.72 | 395 | $14,506.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $36.35 | 395 | $14,356.91 | $14,372.71 |
$-149.47 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,372.71
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,372.71
Total Return:
+43.73%