Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality 2.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,959
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,274.85
Current Value
$8,372.59
Period P&L
$-902.25
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
10 / 32
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-2.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
14.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$731,951.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-902.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-902.25
Gross Return
-9.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,274.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $347.88 26 $9,044.88
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:40am ET $347.02 26 $9,022.39 $9,252.36 $-22.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $356.08 25 $8,902.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $355.65 25 $8,891.13 $9,241.48 $-10.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $356.07 25 $8,901.75
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $355.02 25 $8,875.50 $9,215.23 $-26.25
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET $353.13 26 $9,181.25
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $351.60 26 $9,141.60 $9,175.58 $-39.65
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $345.20 26 $8,975.20
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $344.18 26 $8,948.55 $9,148.93 $-26.65
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $328.36 27 $8,865.59
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $328.66 27 $8,873.82 $9,157.17 +$8.24
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $330.30 27 $8,918.10
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $329.97 27 $8,909.19 $9,148.26 $-8.91
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $328.84 27 $8,878.55
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $328.54 27 $8,870.58 $9,140.29 $-7.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.42 28 $9,139.76
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $325.41 28 $9,111.48 $9,112.01 $-28.28
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $325.53 27 $8,789.31
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $325.62 27 $8,791.74 $9,114.44 +$2.43
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET $326.73 27 $8,821.58
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $326.18 27 $8,806.86 $9,099.73 $-14.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $326.56 27 $8,817.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $326.29 27 $8,809.83 $9,092.44 $-7.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $326.57 27 $8,817.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $324.68 27 $8,766.36 $9,041.54 $-50.89
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $324.53 27 $8,762.31
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.44 27 $8,732.75 $9,011.98 $-29.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $327.81 27 $8,850.87
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $331.37 27 $8,946.99 $9,108.10 +$96.12
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $328.61 27 $8,872.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $327.67 27 $8,847.09 $9,082.72 $-25.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $328.32 27 $8,864.64
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $327.21 27 $8,834.80 $9,052.88 $-29.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $316.38 28 $8,858.64
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $318.63 28 $8,921.50 $9,115.74 +$62.86
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $318.86 28 $8,928.08
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $317.73 28 $8,896.44 $9,084.10 $-31.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $305.55 29 $8,861.09
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $306.46 29 $8,887.48 $9,110.49 +$26.39
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $316.68 28 $8,867.04
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $316.50 28 $8,862.00 $9,105.45 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:40am ET $318.56 28 $8,919.68
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $320.35 28 $8,969.87 $9,155.64 +$50.19
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $322.08 28 $9,018.26
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $313.20 28 $8,769.46 $8,906.84 $-248.80
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET $314.27 28 $8,799.70
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $309.82 28 $8,675.03 $8,782.17 $-124.67
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $307.80 28 $8,618.26
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $306.66 28 $8,586.48 $8,750.39 $-31.78
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $308.72 28 $8,644.23
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $310.24 28 $8,686.86 $8,793.02 +$42.63
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $300.92 29 $8,726.68
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $299.00 29 $8,671.00 $8,737.34 $-55.68
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $306.40 28 $8,579.34
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $305.69 28 $8,559.32 $8,717.32 $-20.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $307.04 28 $8,597.12
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $304.41 28 $8,523.48 $8,643.68 $-73.64
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $305.05 28 $8,541.26
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $304.50 28 $8,526.00 $8,628.42 $-15.26
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $299.35 28 $8,381.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $299.23 28 $8,378.58 $8,625.20 $-3.22
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET $299.43 28 $8,384.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $301.01 28 $8,428.14 $8,669.30 +$44.10
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $303.65 28 $8,502.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $302.50 28 $8,470.00 $8,637.10 $-32.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET $305.80 28 $8,562.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $308.16 28 $8,628.48 $8,703.18 +$66.08
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $304.41 28 $8,523.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $304.23 28 $8,518.44 $8,698.14 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $315.89 27 $8,528.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $315.70 27 $8,523.90 $8,693.15 $-4.99
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $317.04 27 $8,560.08
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:35am ET $313.32 27 $8,459.64 $8,592.71 $-100.44
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $310.03 27 $8,370.88
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $308.87 27 $8,339.49 $8,561.32 $-31.39
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:15am ET $307.86 27 $8,312.09
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 27 $8,291.16 $8,540.39 $-20.93
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 25 $8,368.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $336.21 25 $8,405.37 $8,577.76 +$37.37
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
41 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $334.33 25 $8,358.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $332.55 25 $8,313.63 $8,533.26 $-44.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
42 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $328.52 25 $8,213.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $322.09 25 $8,052.33 $8,372.59 $-160.67
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,372.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,627.41
Total Return: -16.27%
Back to Grace Crossover