VOO Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
-3.92%
Year to Date Return
$10,720.60
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$11,158.30
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
20.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 19.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.2%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,219
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,158.30
Current Value
$10,720.60
Period P&L
$-437.70
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
11 /
28
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$828,771.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-437.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-437.70
Gross Return
-3.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,158.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $633.17 | 17 | $10,763.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $633.00 | 17 | $10,761.00 | $11,155.42 |
$-2.89 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
42m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $636.79 | 17 | $10,825.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $637.10 | 17 | $10,830.70 | $11,160.69 |
+$5.27 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $634.16 | 17 | $10,780.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $638.25 | 17 | $10,850.25 | $11,230.22 |
+$69.53 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $638.80 | 17 | $10,859.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $638.19 | 17 | $10,849.23 | $11,219.85 |
$-10.37 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $632.81 | 17 | $10,757.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $638.23 | 17 | $10,849.83 | $11,311.90 |
+$92.06 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $637.31 | 17 | $10,834.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $636.72 | 17 | $10,824.16 | $11,301.79 |
$-10.11 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $625.47 | 18 | $11,258.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $626.18 | 18 | $11,271.29 | $11,314.62 |
+$12.83 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $634.16 | 17 | $10,780.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $633.49 | 17 | $10,769.33 | $11,303.23 |
$-11.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $638.36 | 17 | $10,852.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $639.81 | 17 | $10,876.69 | $11,327.80 |
+$24.57 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $639.82 | 17 | $10,876.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $637.50 | 17 | $10,837.50 | $11,288.36 |
$-39.44 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $635.82 | 17 | $10,808.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $634.62 | 17 | $10,788.54 | $11,267.96 |
$-20.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $632.06 | 17 | $10,745.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $631.89 | 17 | $10,742.13 | $11,265.07 |
$-2.89 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $626.34 | 17 | $10,647.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $624.61 | 17 | $10,618.37 | $11,235.66 |
$-29.41 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $635.61 | 17 | $10,805.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $638.81 | 17 | $10,859.77 | $11,290.06 |
+$54.40 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $639.44 | 17 | $10,870.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $636.16 | 17 | $10,814.72 | $11,234.30 |
$-55.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $626.47 | 17 | $10,649.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $625.07 | 17 | $10,626.19 | $11,210.50 |
$-23.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $631.70 | 17 | $10,738.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $629.02 | 17 | $10,693.34 | $11,164.94 |
$-45.56 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $632.44 | 17 | $10,751.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $631.71 | 17 | $10,739.07 | $11,152.53 |
$-12.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $632.10 | 17 | $10,745.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $628.64 | 17 | $10,686.80 | $11,093.63 |
$-58.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $629.69 | 17 | $10,704.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $630.09 | 17 | $10,711.53 | $11,100.43 |
+$6.80 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $628.22 | 17 | $10,679.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $617.41 | 17 | $10,495.97 | $10,916.66 |
$-183.77 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $616.41 | 17 | $10,479.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $620.78 | 17 | $10,553.26 | $10,990.86 |
+$74.20 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $615.76 | 17 | $10,467.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $610.17 | 17 | $10,372.89 | $10,895.83 |
$-95.03 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $618.18 | 17 | $10,509.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $617.98 | 17 | $10,505.66 | $10,892.43 |
$-3.40 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $613.36 | 17 | $10,427.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $612.78 | 17 | $10,417.26 | $10,882.49 |
$-9.94 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.40 | 17 | $10,308.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $605.62 | 17 | $10,295.54 | $10,869.31 |
$-13.18 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $608.27 | 17 | $10,340.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $604.51 | 17 | $10,276.67 | $10,805.36 |
$-63.95 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $586.95 | 18 | $10,565.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $584.04 | 18 | $10,512.72 | $10,752.98 |
$-52.38 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $603.30 | 17 | $10,256.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $602.48 | 17 | $10,242.16 | $10,739.04 |
$-13.94 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $604.83 | 17 | $10,282.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $602.36 | 17 | $10,240.20 | $10,697.14 |
$-41.90 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $620.61 | 17 | $10,550.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $620.13 | 17 | $10,542.13 | $10,688.90 |
$-8.24 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $624.81 | 17 | $10,621.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $624.19 | 17 | $10,611.23 | $10,678.36 |
$-10.54 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $637.62 | 16 | $10,201.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $642.44 | 16 | $10,278.96 | $10,755.40 |
+$77.04 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $650.88 | 16 | $10,414.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $650.79 | 16 | $10,412.64 | $10,753.96 |
$-1.44 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $651.19 | 16 | $10,419.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $651.72 | 16 | $10,427.52 | $10,762.44 |
+$8.48 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $652.09 | 16 | $10,433.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $650.45 | 16 | $10,407.20 | $10,736.28 |
$-26.16 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $656.34 | 16 | $10,501.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $655.92 | 16 | $10,494.80 | $10,729.64 |
$-6.64 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $653.31 | 16 | $10,452.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $653.32 | 16 | $10,453.04 | $10,729.72 |
+$0.08 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $664.72 | 16 | $10,635.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $664.16 | 16 | $10,626.48 | $10,720.60 |
$-9.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,720.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$720.60
Total Return:
+7.21%