VRTX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
+6.90%
Year to Date Return
$13,229.72
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$12,376.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
32.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.4
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.3%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.9
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,920
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,376.20
Current Value
$13,229.72
Period P&L
$853.56
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
12 /
30
Best Trade
+9.15%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
17.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,068,256.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$853.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$853.56
Gross Return
+6.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,376.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $446.63 | 27 | $12,059.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $445.90 | 27 | $12,039.17 | $12,356.32 |
$-19.85 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $466.96 | 26 | $12,140.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $465.14 | 26 | $12,093.64 | $12,309.13 |
$-47.19 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $486.24 | 25 | $12,156.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $479.37 | 25 | $11,984.25 | $12,137.38 |
$-171.75 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $472.19 | 25 | $11,804.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $469.88 | 25 | $11,746.88 | $12,079.51 |
$-57.87 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $459.31 | 26 | $11,942.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $457.89 | 26 | $11,905.14 | $12,042.59 |
$-36.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $448.53 | 26 | $11,661.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $445.43 | 26 | $11,581.18 | $11,961.99 |
$-80.60 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $441.35 | 27 | $11,916.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $443.26 | 27 | $11,967.89 | $12,013.36 |
+$51.37 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $440.21 | 27 | $11,885.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $468.66 | 27 | $12,653.82 | $12,781.64 |
+$768.29 (+6.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $477.77 | 26 | $12,421.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $476.92 | 26 | $12,399.92 | $12,759.67 |
$-21.97 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $474.17 | 26 | $12,328.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.85 | 26 | $12,241.97 | $12,673.22 |
$-86.45 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $475.57 | 26 | $12,364.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $473.67 | 26 | $12,315.42 | $12,623.82 |
$-49.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $472.17 | 26 | $12,276.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $468.55 | 26 | $12,182.30 | $12,529.73 |
$-94.09 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $464.79 | 26 | $12,084.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $473.80 | 26 | $12,318.80 | $12,764.12 |
+$234.39 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $464.20 | 27 | $12,533.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $473.19 | 27 | $12,776.24 | $13,007.09 |
+$242.97 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $468.88 | 27 | $12,659.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $466.44 | 27 | $12,593.88 | $12,941.21 |
$-65.88 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $478.71 | 27 | $12,925.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $470.05 | 27 | $12,691.35 | $12,707.25 |
$-233.96 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $477.28 | 26 | $12,409.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $476.55 | 26 | $12,390.17 | $12,688.14 |
$-19.11 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $485.30 | 26 | $12,617.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $488.92 | 26 | $12,711.92 | $12,782.39 |
+$94.25 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $477.42 | 26 | $12,412.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $479.05 | 26 | $12,455.17 | $12,824.77 |
+$42.38 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $488.30 | 26 | $12,695.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $487.75 | 26 | $12,681.50 | $12,810.47 |
$-14.30 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $475.29 | 26 | $12,357.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $475.48 | 26 | $12,362.55 | $12,815.61 |
+$5.14 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $461.59 | 27 | $12,462.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $460.30 | 27 | $12,428.10 | $12,780.78 |
$-34.83 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $455.34 | 28 | $12,749.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $497.00 | 28 | $13,916.00 | $13,947.26 |
+$1,166.48 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $493.85 | 28 | $13,827.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $483.47 | 28 | $13,537.16 | $13,656.62 |
$-290.64 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $474.14 | 28 | $13,275.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $471.12 | 28 | $13,191.36 | $13,572.20 |
$-84.42 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $466.69 | 29 | $13,534.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $463.21 | 29 | $13,433.23 | $13,471.42 |
$-100.78 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $455.61 | 29 | $13,212.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:25pm ET | $450.95 | 29 | $13,077.55 | $13,336.28 |
$-135.14 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $457.38 | 29 | $13,264.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $454.51 | 29 | $13,180.79 | $13,253.05 |
$-83.23 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $452.00 | 29 | $13,108.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $455.47 | 29 | $13,208.63 | $13,353.68 |
+$100.63 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $439.94 | 30 | $13,198.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $439.65 | 30 | $13,189.50 | $13,344.98 |
$-8.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $449.38 | 29 | $13,031.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $445.39 | 29 | $12,916.45 | $13,229.56 |
$-115.42 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $439.96 | 30 | $13,198.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $438.47 | 30 | $13,154.10 | $13,184.86 |
$-44.70 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $431.45 | 30 | $12,943.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $439.55 | 30 | $13,186.50 | $13,428.01 |
+$243.15 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $443.52 | 30 | $13,305.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $441.13 | 30 | $13,233.90 | $13,356.46 |
$-71.55 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $438.96 | 30 | $13,168.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $437.00 | 30 | $13,110.00 | $13,297.51 |
$-58.95 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $439.97 | 30 | $13,199.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $441.00 | 30 | $13,230.00 | $13,328.41 |
+$30.90 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $441.36 | 30 | $13,240.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $439.73 | 30 | $13,191.90 | $13,279.51 |
$-48.90 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $439.51 | 30 | $13,185.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $437.88 | 30 | $13,136.48 | $13,230.68 |
$-48.83 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $431.25 | 30 | $12,937.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $431.17 | 30 | $12,934.95 | $13,228.13 |
$-2.55 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.98 | 30 | $12,899.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $429.16 | 30 | $12,874.80 | $13,203.68 |
$-24.45 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $425.10 | 31 | $13,178.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.92 | 31 | $13,141.52 | $13,167.10 |
$-36.58 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $423.43 | 31 | $13,126.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $425.45 | 31 | $13,188.95 | $13,229.72 |
+$62.62 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,229.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,229.72
Total Return:
+32.30%