VXX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-8.33%
Year to Date Return
$8,111.56
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$8,848.16
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-8.3%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,760
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,848.16
Current Value
$8,111.56
Period P&L
$-736.62
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
10 /
34
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$739,088.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-736.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-736.62
Gross Return
-8.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,848.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $26.40 | 335 | $8,844.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.11 | 335 | $8,746.85 | $8,751.03 |
$-97.15 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $26.17 | 334 | $8,740.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.04 | 334 | $8,695.69 | $8,706.54 |
$-44.49 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $26.29 | 331 | $8,701.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $26.28 | 331 | $8,697.03 | $8,701.58 |
$-4.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $25.80 | 337 | $8,694.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $25.78 | 337 | $8,686.41 | $8,693.39 |
$-8.19 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.00 | 334 | $8,682.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $25.98 | 334 | $8,677.32 | $8,688.38 |
$-5.01 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.65 | 314 | $8,682.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $27.49 | 314 | $8,631.86 | $8,638.11 |
$-50.27 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.21 | 329 | $8,621.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $26.10 | 329 | $8,586.90 | $8,603.56 |
$-34.54 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $26.21 | 328 | $8,596.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $26.16 | 328 | $8,578.84 | $8,585.52 |
$-18.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $28.17 | 304 | $8,563.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $27.76 | 304 | $8,439.04 | $8,460.88 |
$-124.64 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $26.32 | 321 | $8,448.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.04 | 321 | $8,358.94 | $8,371.10 |
$-89.78 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.40 | 317 | $8,368.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $26.37 | 317 | $8,357.71 | $8,360.00 |
$-11.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.06 | 308 | $8,334.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.95 | 308 | $8,608.60 | $8,634.12 |
+$274.12 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.51 | 313 | $8,610.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.45 | 313 | $8,591.85 | $8,615.34 |
$-18.78 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.64 | 311 | $8,596.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $28.07 | 311 | $8,729.77 | $8,749.08 |
+$133.73 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $28.89 | 302 | $8,723.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $28.64 | 302 | $8,649.28 | $8,675.08 |
$-73.99 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.73 | 324 | $8,658.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.63 | 324 | $8,627.63 | $8,643.82 |
$-31.27 (-0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
36m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $27.27 | 316 | $8,617.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $26.88 | 316 | $8,492.50 | $8,519.00 |
$-124.82 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.43 | 299 | $8,500.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.16 | 299 | $8,419.84 | $8,438.27 |
$-80.73 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.58 | 285 | $8,430.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $28.39 | 285 | $8,091.15 | $8,099.12 |
$-339.15 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $29.24 | 276 | $8,070.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.88 | 276 | $7,694.88 | $7,723.76 |
$-375.36 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.07 | 265 | $7,703.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $28.53 | 265 | $7,560.45 | $7,580.66 |
$-143.10 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $29.24 | 259 | $7,573.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $28.99 | 259 | $7,508.41 | $7,515.99 |
$-64.67 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.26 | 256 | $7,490.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $31.76 | 256 | $8,130.56 | $8,155.99 |
+$640.00 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $33.87 | 240 | $8,128.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $33.46 | 240 | $8,030.40 | $8,057.59 |
$-98.40 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $32.20 | 250 | $8,050.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $32.67 | 250 | $8,167.50 | $8,175.09 |
+$117.50 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $33.78 | 242 | $8,174.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.43 | 242 | $8,090.06 | $8,090.36 |
$-84.72 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $33.22 | 243 | $8,072.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $32.88 | 243 | $7,988.63 | $8,006.53 |
$-83.84 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $31.91 | 250 | $7,977.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $33.92 | 250 | $8,480.00 | $8,509.03 |
+$502.50 (+6.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.39 | 247 | $8,494.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $34.74 | 247 | $8,579.55 | $8,594.24 |
+$85.22 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.39 | 242 | $8,564.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $34.71 | 242 | $8,399.82 | $8,429.68 |
$-164.56 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.03 | 240 | $8,407.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.85 | 240 | $9,082.80 | $9,105.28 |
+$675.60 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $38.56 | 236 | $9,098.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.21 | 236 | $8,781.56 | $8,787.86 |
$-317.42 (-3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $34.60 | 253 | $8,755.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $34.83 | 253 | $8,811.99 | $8,844.79 |
+$56.93 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $34.13 | 259 | $8,839.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $33.94 | 259 | $8,790.46 | $8,796.12 |
$-48.67 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $32.03 | 274 | $8,777.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $31.83 | 274 | $8,722.79 | $8,741.32 |
$-54.80 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $30.57 | 285 | $8,712.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.94 | 285 | $8,247.90 | $8,276.77 |
$-464.55 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $29.27 | 282 | $8,254.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.30 | 282 | $8,262.68 | $8,285.31 |
+$8.54 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $28.77 | 287 | $8,258.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $28.64 | 287 | $8,220.74 | $8,247.63 |
$-37.68 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.53 | 279 | $8,240.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $29.51 | 279 | $8,233.29 | $8,240.66 |
$-6.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.64 | 278 | $8,239.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $29.53 | 278 | $8,209.34 | $8,210.08 |
$-30.58 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.46 | 278 | $8,189.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $29.36 | 278 | $8,162.08 | $8,182.28 |
$-27.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.27 | 279 | $8,166.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.00 | 279 | $8,092.39 | $8,108.34 |
$-73.94 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $28.63 | 283 | $8,102.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $28.85 | 283 | $8,164.55 | $8,170.60 |
+$62.26 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $28.32 | 288 | $8,154.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $28.11 | 288 | $8,095.68 | $8,111.56 |
$-59.04 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,111.56
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,888.44
Total Return:
-18.88%