WMT Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.57%
Year to Date Return
$13,988.20
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$13,908.57
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
46.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 46.1
30-Day Momentum
31
+3.2%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,271
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,908.57
Current Value
$13,988.20
Period P&L
$79.63
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
14 /
25
Best Trade
+4.89%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
17h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,064,426.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$79.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$79.63
Gross Return
+0.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,908.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.75 | 123 | $13,868.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $112.29 | 123 | $13,811.06 | $13,851.38 |
$-57.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $112.84 | 122 | $13,766.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.70 | 122 | $13,870.79 | $13,955.69 |
+$104.31 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $112.68 | 123 | $13,859.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $112.79 | 123 | $13,873.17 | $13,969.84 |
+$14.15 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $118.66 | 117 | $13,883.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $118.34 | 117 | $13,845.20 | $13,931.81 |
$-38.03 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $120.27 | 115 | $13,830.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $119.35 | 115 | $13,724.68 | $13,826.01 |
$-105.80 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $118.60 | 116 | $13,757.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $118.27 | 116 | $13,719.32 | $13,788.31 |
$-37.70 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $118.59 | 116 | $13,756.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.96 | 116 | $13,682.78 | $13,714.65 |
$-73.66 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $118.41 | 115 | $13,617.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $117.96 | 115 | $13,564.83 | $13,662.33 |
$-52.32 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $118.09 | 115 | $13,580.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $117.74 | 115 | $13,540.10 | $13,622.08 |
$-40.25 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $116.97 | 116 | $13,568.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $116.83 | 116 | $13,552.28 | $13,605.84 |
$-16.24 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $117.21 | 116 | $13,596.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $117.02 | 116 | $13,573.74 | $13,583.22 |
$-22.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $127.29 | 106 | $13,492.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $128.61 | 106 | $13,632.66 | $13,723.14 |
+$139.92 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $127.52 | 107 | $13,644.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $127.00 | 107 | $13,588.47 | $13,666.96 |
$-56.17 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $131.21 | 104 | $13,645.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $130.38 | 104 | $13,559.00 | $13,580.64 |
$-86.32 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $127.09 | 106 | $13,471.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $126.99 | 106 | $13,460.70 | $13,569.80 |
$-10.84 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $129.48 | 104 | $13,465.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $127.57 | 104 | $13,267.28 | $13,371.16 |
$-198.64 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.57 | 105 | $13,289.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $127.11 | 105 | $13,346.55 | $13,427.86 |
+$56.70 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:55pm ET | $126.57 | 106 | $13,415.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $126.28 | 106 | $13,385.68 | $13,397.65 |
$-30.21 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $124.71 | 107 | $13,343.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $124.56 | 107 | $13,327.92 | $13,381.59 |
$-16.06 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $128.50 | 104 | $13,364.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $127.57 | 104 | $13,267.28 | $13,284.87 |
$-96.72 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $126.67 | 104 | $13,173.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.33 | 104 | $13,242.84 | $13,354.03 |
+$69.16 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $122.59 | 108 | $13,239.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $122.64 | 108 | $13,245.12 | $13,359.43 |
+$5.40 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $123.49 | 108 | $13,336.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $125.43 | 108 | $13,546.44 | $13,568.94 |
+$209.51 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $125.55 | 108 | $13,559.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $125.41 | 108 | $13,544.28 | $13,553.82 |
$-15.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $123.19 | 110 | $13,550.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $123.00 | 110 | $13,530.00 | $13,532.90 |
$-20.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $119.62 | 113 | $13,517.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $119.87 | 113 | $13,545.31 | $13,561.15 |
+$28.25 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.86 | 110 | $13,514.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $122.60 | 110 | $13,486.00 | $13,532.55 |
$-28.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $123.42 | 109 | $13,452.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $123.86 | 109 | $13,501.28 | $13,581.05 |
+$48.50 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $124.02 | 109 | $13,518.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $123.82 | 109 | $13,496.38 | $13,559.25 |
$-21.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $126.46 | 107 | $13,530.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $126.37 | 107 | $13,521.59 | $13,549.92 |
$-9.33 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $123.22 | 109 | $13,430.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $129.25 | 109 | $14,088.25 | $14,207.19 |
+$657.27 (+4.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $126.82 | 112 | $14,203.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $124.69 | 112 | $13,965.28 | $13,968.63 |
$-238.56 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $123.96 | 112 | $13,884.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.20 | 112 | $13,910.40 | $13,994.95 |
+$26.32 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $124.97 | 111 | $13,872.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $124.55 | 111 | $13,825.05 | $13,947.78 |
$-47.17 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.22 | 108 | $13,847.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $129.20 | 108 | $13,953.60 | $14,053.62 |
+$105.84 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $129.87 | 108 | $14,025.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $132.05 | 108 | $14,261.40 | $14,289.06 |
+$235.44 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.63 | 110 | $14,259.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $127.35 | 110 | $14,008.50 | $14,038.26 |
$-250.80 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $126.79 | 110 | $13,946.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $127.54 | 110 | $14,029.73 | $14,121.09 |
+$82.83 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $131.69 | 107 | $14,091.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.45 | 107 | $13,958.15 | $13,988.20 |
$-132.89 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,988.20
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,988.20
Total Return:
+39.88%