XOM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+11.53%
Year to Date Return
$12,138.87
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,884.49
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
30.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 30.0
30-Day Momentum
36
+3.6%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.3
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,401
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,884.49
Current Value
$12,138.87
Period P&L
$1,254.48
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
20.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$851,901.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,254.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,254.48
Gross Return
+11.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,884.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $120.46 | 90 | $10,841.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $122.22 | 90 | $10,999.48 | $11,042.46 |
+$158.08 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $119.11 | 92 | $10,958.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $118.70 | 92 | $10,920.41 | $11,004.75 |
$-37.71 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.39 | 89 | $10,981.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.61 | 89 | $11,001.29 | $11,024.33 |
+$19.58 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $126.14 | 87 | $10,973.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $126.32 | 87 | $10,989.84 | $11,040.43 |
+$16.09 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $129.85 | 85 | $11,037.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $129.57 | 85 | $11,013.45 | $11,016.63 |
$-23.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $130.05 | 84 | $10,924.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $129.87 | 84 | $10,909.08 | $11,001.51 |
$-15.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $132.72 | 82 | $10,883.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $135.24 | 82 | $11,089.31 | $11,207.78 |
+$206.27 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $134.68 | 83 | $11,178.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $134.54 | 83 | $11,166.82 | $11,196.15 |
$-11.63 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $136.46 | 82 | $11,189.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $136.46 | 82 | $11,189.72 | $11,196.15 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $137.69 | 81 | $11,152.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $139.20 | 81 | $11,275.20 | $11,318.46 |
+$122.31 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $139.82 | 80 | $11,185.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $139.88 | 80 | $11,190.80 | $11,323.66 |
+$5.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.59 | 78 | $11,200.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $146.34 | 78 | $11,414.52 | $11,538.16 |
+$214.50 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.31 | 76 | $11,423.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $149.14 | 76 | $11,334.64 | $11,449.24 |
$-88.92 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $150.79 | 75 | $11,308.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $150.43 | 75 | $11,282.62 | $11,422.99 |
$-26.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $156.01 | 73 | $11,388.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $155.82 | 73 | $11,374.86 | $11,409.12 |
$-13.87 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $145.74 | 78 | $11,367.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $150.04 | 78 | $11,703.12 | $11,744.52 |
+$335.40 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $150.42 | 78 | $11,732.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $149.29 | 78 | $11,644.62 | $11,656.38 |
$-88.14 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $149.32 | 78 | $11,646.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $149.64 | 78 | $11,671.92 | $11,681.34 |
+$24.96 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $154.29 | 75 | $11,571.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $153.90 | 75 | $11,542.50 | $11,652.46 |
$-28.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $149.76 | 77 | $11,531.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $149.44 | 77 | $11,506.96 | $11,627.80 |
$-24.66 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $150.32 | 77 | $11,574.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $150.92 | 77 | $11,620.84 | $11,674.00 |
+$46.20 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $151.89 | 76 | $11,543.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $151.21 | 76 | $11,491.96 | $11,622.32 |
$-51.68 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $154.81 | 75 | $11,610.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $155.98 | 75 | $11,698.49 | $11,710.05 |
+$87.73 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.31 | 73 | $11,556.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $158.92 | 73 | $11,601.16 | $11,754.58 |
+$44.53 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.26 | 73 | $11,625.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $161.62 | 73 | $11,798.26 | $11,926.86 |
+$172.28 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $164.35 | 72 | $11,833.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $163.71 | 72 | $11,786.76 | $11,880.42 |
$-46.44 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $170.67 | 69 | $11,776.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $173.38 | 69 | $11,963.22 | $12,067.41 |
+$186.99 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $169.14 | 71 | $12,008.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.98 | 71 | $11,855.58 | $11,914.05 |
$-153.36 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.68 | 72 | $11,856.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $161.93 | 72 | $11,658.96 | $11,716.05 |
$-198.00 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $154.29 | 75 | $11,571.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $156.99 | 75 | $11,774.62 | $11,919.30 |
+$203.25 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.54 | 77 | $11,822.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $152.59 | 77 | $11,749.05 | $11,846.15 |
$-73.15 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $148.74 | 79 | $11,750.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $149.45 | 79 | $11,806.55 | $11,902.24 |
+$56.09 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $144.62 | 82 | $11,858.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $148.00 | 82 | $12,136.00 | $12,179.40 |
+$277.16 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $149.45 | 81 | $12,105.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.26 | 81 | $12,089.66 | $12,163.60 |
$-15.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.36 | 79 | $12,036.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $153.96 | 79 | $12,162.84 | $12,290.00 |
+$126.40 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $154.62 | 79 | $12,214.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.22 | 79 | $12,025.14 | $12,100.16 |
$-189.84 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $153.15 | 79 | $12,098.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $153.64 | 79 | $12,137.56 | $12,138.87 |
+$38.71 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,138.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,138.87
Total Return:
+21.39%