Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,288
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,315.84
Current Value
$11,510.79
Period P&L
$1,136.48
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
+2.11%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$151,497.22
Estimated Fees
$378.74
Gross P&L
$1,136.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$757.74
Gross Return
+11.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.35%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,315.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 5:45am ET $3.95 2,608 $10,315.84
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 5:45am ET $4.01 2,608 $10,449.13 $10,397.22 +$81.38
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $3.44 3,022 $10,397.22
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 3,022 $9,832.02 $9,781.45 $-615.77
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 3,007 $9,781.45
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $3.48 3,007 $10,458.00 $10,407.40 +$625.95
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:20pm ET $2.93 3,553 $10,407.40
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:25pm ET $3.11 3,553 $11,035.97 $10,982.36 +$574.96
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.98 5,559 $10,982.36
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 7:00pm ET $2.03 5,559 $11,286.42 $11,230.75 +$248.39
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 9,766 $11,230.75
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.22 9,766 $11,933.89 $11,875.98 +$645.23
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.50 7,939 $11,875.98
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.45 7,939 $11,510.79 $11,510.79 $-423.66
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,510.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,510.79
Total Return: +15.11%
Back to Luke Liquidation