Compendium › Luke Liquidation › LINKUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LINKUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 5 trades in period

-9.18%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,081.86
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$10,986.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:02:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
2.2/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 6.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,754
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,986.32
Current Value
$10,081.86
Period P&L
$-1,008.53
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.35%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$108,866.36
Estimated Fees
$272.17
Gross P&L
$-1,008.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,280.70
Gross Return
-9.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.66%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,986.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $7.31 1,504 $10,986.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $7.71 1,504 $11,595.42 $11,538.96 +$552.64
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 8, 2026 10:30pm ET $8.85 1,303 $11,538.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:00am ET $8.59 1,303 $11,191.61 $11,134.78 $-404.18
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $8.91 1,250 $11,134.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $8.63 1,250 $10,788.69 $10,733.88 $-400.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $9.32 1,151 $10,733.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $9.04 1,151 $10,407.42 $10,407.42 $-379.31
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 5:50pm ET $9.09 1,145 $10,407.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $8.80 1,145 $10,081.86 $10,081.86 $-376.78
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,081.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$81.86
Total Return: +0.82%
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