Compendium › Luke Liquidation › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:15:00+00 • 16 trades executed

-7.72%
2 Years Return
$9,512.82
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,308.88
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:17:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,409
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,308.88
Current Value
$9,512.82
Total P&L
$-796.06
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+10.17%
Worst Trade
-7.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$176,544.93
Estimated Fees
$441.36
Gross P&L
$-796.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,237.42
Gross Return
-7.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $10,308.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $153.98 67 $10,308.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 3:20pm ET $161.94 67 $10,841.80 $10,788.92 +$480.04
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $126.66 85 $10,788.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 1:00am ET $122.09 85 $10,399.65 $10,346.68 $-442.24
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 1:05am ET $120.11 86 $10,346.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 1:15am ET $116.22 86 $10,011.58 $9,960.69 $-385.99
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $183.82 54 $9,960.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $169.22 54 $9,169.56 $9,121.73 $-838.96
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $169.22 54 $9,121.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $186.43 54 $10,049.43 $10,001.50 +$879.77
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:15pm ET $185.54 54 $10,001.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $178.94 54 $9,645.73 $9,596.61 $-404.89
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $102.64 93 $9,596.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $101.93 93 $9,530.23 $9,482.41 $-114.20
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $72.29 131 $9,482.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $67.76 131 $8,888.32 $8,842.40 $-640.01
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $67.76 130 $8,842.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $73.25 130 $9,558.82 $9,512.82 +$670.42
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,512.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-487.18
Total Return: -4.87%
Back to Luke Liquidation