Compendium › Luke Liquidation › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

-7.29%
Year to Date Return
$6,804.28
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$7,264.65
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:30:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 59%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.59 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (59%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,178
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,264.65
Current Value
$6,804.28
Period P&L
$-529.95
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-3.32%
Avg Trade Return
-1.98%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$42,116.72
Estimated Fees
$105.29
Gross P&L
$-529.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-635.24
Gross Return
-7.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.74%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $7,264.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.0963 75,429 $7,264.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:45am ET $0.0931 75,429 $7,023.58 $6,987.86 $-276.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.1008 69,329 $6,987.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.1012 69,329 $7,018.18 $7,018.18 $-4.70
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.1017 69,017 $7,018.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:05am ET $0.0986 69,017 $6,804.28 $6,804.28 $-248.46
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,804.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,195.72
Total Return: -31.96%
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