Compendium › Luke Liquidation › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 09:50:00+00 • 33 trades executed

+46.97%
2 Years Return
$24,137.19
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$16,423.04
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:53:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 55%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.9/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.55 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (55%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,316
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$16,423.04
Current Value
$24,137.19
Total P&L
$7,714.15
Max Drawdown
-19.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
13 / 8
Best Trade
+9.35%
Worst Trade
-5.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$806,760.11
Estimated Fees
$2,016.90
Gross P&L
$7,714.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,697.25
Gross Return
+46.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.69%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $16,423.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:00pm ET $0.00002265 725,079,029 $16,423.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $0.00002178 725,079,029 $15,792.22 $15,711.68 $-711.36
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $0.00002178 721,381,084 $15,711.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 2:30pm ET $0.00002298 721,381,084 $16,577.34 $16,496.61 +$784.93
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.00001727 955,217,719 $16,496.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 12:20am ET $0.00001816 955,217,719 $17,346.75 $17,262.15 +$765.54
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.00001315 1,312,711,027 $17,262.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 7:25am ET $0.00001389 1,312,711,027 $18,233.56 $18,144.82 +$882.67
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $0.00001212 1,497,097,360 $18,144.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 1:15am ET $0.00001173 1,497,097,360 $17,560.95 $17,471.69 $-673.13
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $0.00001094 1,597,046,618 $17,471.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:15am ET $0.00001172 1,597,046,618 $18,717.39 $18,626.91 +$1,155.22
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 8:05pm ET $0.00001338 1,392,145,740 $18,626.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 2:45pm ET $0.00001293 1,392,145,740 $18,000.44 $17,908.88 $-718.03
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2024 11:05am ET $0.00001656 1,081,454,106 $17,908.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 1:15pm ET $0.00001598 1,081,454,106 $17,281.64 $17,193.66 $-715.22
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2024 1:15pm ET $0.00001598 1,075,948,686 $17,193.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 10:45pm ET $0.00001684 1,075,948,686 $18,118.98 $18,030.69 +$837.03
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 11:35pm ET $0.00002386 755,686,924 $18,030.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 8:25am ET $0.00002532 755,686,924 $19,133.99 $19,041.08 +$1,010.39
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $0.00002501 761,338,665 $19,041.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $0.00002636 761,338,665 $20,068.89 $19,971.11 +$930.03
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $0.00002636 757,629,363 $19,971.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:20pm ET $0.00002803 757,629,363 $21,236.35 $21,133.33 +$1,162.22
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 3:10pm ET $0.00002128 993,107,613 $21,133.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 9:35pm ET $0.00002244 993,107,613 $22,285.33 $22,176.79 +$1,043.46
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET $0.00001940 1,143,133,505 $22,176.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET $0.00001881 1,143,133,505 $21,502.34 $21,393.14 $-783.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $0.00001379 1,551,351,704 $21,393.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00001308 1,551,351,704 $20,291.68 $20,187.47 $-1,205.67
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00001308 1,543,384,557 $20,187.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:05pm ET $0.00001234 1,543,384,557 $19,045.37 $18,947.28 $-1,240.19
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 4:05pm ET $0.00001322 1,433,228,442 $18,947.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2025 4:45am ET $0.00001282 1,433,228,442 $18,373.99 $18,280.69 $-666.59
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $0.00000714 2,560,320,728 $18,280.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $0.00000780 2,560,320,728 $19,970.50 $19,874.87 +$1,594.18
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 6:15pm ET $0.00000930 2,137,082,796 $19,874.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 6:30pm ET $0.00001017 2,137,082,796 $21,734.13 $21,630.11 +$1,755.24
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:15pm ET $0.00000973 2,223,032,888 $21,630.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:15pm ET $0.00001022 2,223,032,888 $22,719.40 $22,608.52 +$978.41
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 4,331,134,100 $22,608.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000560 4,331,134,100 $24,254.35 $24,137.19 +$1,528.67
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,137.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,137.19
Total Return: +141.37%
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