Compendium › Macro Monday › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-22 to present • 7 trades in period

+17.08%
Last Year Return
$18,223.86
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$15,565.49
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 07:56:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 55.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
35,131
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,565.49
Current Value
$18,223.86
Period P&L
$2,658.37
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+2.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$229,179.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,658.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,658.37
Gross Return
+17.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $15,565.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET $346.55 45 $15,565.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $347.07 45 $15,589.07 $15,589.07 +$23.58
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $334.60 47 $15,589.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.34 47 $14,971.28 $14,971.28 $-617.79
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $309.36 48 $14,971.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.52 48 $16,043.94 $16,043.94 +$1,072.66
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $327.32 49 $16,043.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.15 49 $16,477.25 $16,477.25 +$433.31
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $298.41 55 $16,477.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.04 55 $17,340.29 $17,340.29 +$863.04
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $418.25 41 $17,340.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.63 41 $17,273.28 $17,273.28 $-67.01
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:50am ET $390.05 44 $17,273.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.51 44 $18,223.86 $18,223.86 +$950.58
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,223.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,223.86
Total Return: +82.24%
Back to Macro Monday