Compendium › Macro Monday › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 6 trades in period

+2.11%
Last Year Return
$10,063.37
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,855.87
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
1.8/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 15.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,369
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
254 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,855.87
Current Value
$10,063.37
Period P&L
$207.50
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+4.24%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,134.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$207.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$207.50
Gross Return
+2.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 254 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $9,855.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:20am ET $106.80 92 $9,855.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $107.70 92 $9,938.51 $9,938.51 +$82.64
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $150.36 66 $9,938.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.55 66 $9,488.38 $9,488.38 $-450.13
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $137.40 69 $9,488.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.74 69 $9,442.80 $9,442.80 $-45.58
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $133.90 71 $9,442.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.58 71 $9,843.36 $9,843.36 +$400.56
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $137.82 71 $9,843.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.53 71 $9,894.43 $9,894.43 +$51.07
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 77 $9,894.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.05 77 $10,063.37 $10,063.37 +$168.94
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,063.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$63.37
Total Return: +0.63%
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