Compendium › Macro Monday › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 9 trades in period

+77.89%
Last Year Return
$37,994.99
Current Value
78%
Win Rate
$21,358.70
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 87.5/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 62.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,108
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$21,358.70
Current Value
$37,994.99
Period P&L
$16,636.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+28.09%
Worst Trade
-4.03%
Avg Trade Return
+7.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$463,576.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16,636.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$16,636.29
Gross Return
+77.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+77.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $21,358.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $46.84 453 $21,195.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $50.00 453 $22,625.74 $22,625.74 +$1,429.95
(+6.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.15 293 $22,625.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $82.75 293 $24,268.05 $24,268.05 +$1,642.31
(+7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:50am ET $139.80 174 $24,268.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $134.17 174 $23,290.73 $23,290.73 $-977.32
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 196 $23,290.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $118.17 196 $23,187.36 $23,187.36 $-103.37
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.31 312 $23,187.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.36 312 $24,139.07 $24,139.07 +$951.71
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 328 $24,139.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.16 328 $26,988.72 $26,988.72 +$2,849.65
(+11.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 356 $26,988.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.80 356 $28,030.99 $28,030.99 +$1,042.27
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $66.24 423 $28,030.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.10 423 $29,662.32 $29,662.32 +$1,631.33
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 435 $29,662.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.36 435 $37,994.99 $37,994.99 +$8,332.67
(+28.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $37,994.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$27,994.99
Total Return: +279.95%
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