Compendium › Macro Monday › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 3 trades in period

+3.63%
Last Year Return
$11,563.22
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$11,158.32
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 42.9/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,158.32
Current Value
$11,563.22
Period P&L
$404.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
+0.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$68,477.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$404.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$404.91
Gross Return
+3.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $11,158.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $198.57 56 $11,170.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $201.23 56 $11,319.76 $11,319.76 +$149.63
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 43 $11,319.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.09 43 $11,552.47 $11,552.47 +$232.71
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 47 $11,552.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.47 47 $11,563.22 $11,563.22 +$10.75
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,563.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,563.22
Total Return: +15.63%
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