Compendium › Macro Monday › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+7.93%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,166.29
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$13,125.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 44.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,147
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,125.95
Current Value
$14,166.29
Period P&L
$1,040.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-2.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.98%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,375.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,040.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,040.34
Gross Return
+7.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $13,125.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $604.15 22 $13,125.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $590.34 22 $12,825.91 $12,825.91 $-300.04
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $648.47 20 $12,825.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $652.38 20 $12,903.34 $12,903.34 +$77.43
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $635.26 20 $12,903.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $655.40 20 $13,312.53 $13,312.53 +$409.19
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 23 $13,312.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 23 $14,166.29 $14,166.29 +$853.76
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,166.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,166.29
Total Return: +41.66%
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