Compendium › Macro Monday › BAC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BAC
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 15 trades executed

+47.54%
2 Years Return
$14,546.64
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$9,859.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:21:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.8/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
14.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 75.7/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 51.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,859.39
Current Value
$14,546.64
Total P&L
$4,687.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.84

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-2.27%
Avg Trade Return
+2.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$353,447.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,687.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,687.25
Gross Return
+47.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $9,859.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $35.20 280 $9,859.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $38.20 280 $10,701.20 $10,701.20 +$841.81
(+8.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 10:30am ET $38.29 280 $10,701.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 3:55pm ET $39.05 280 $10,915.03 $10,915.03 +$213.83
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET $41.59 262 $10,915.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $44.78 262 $11,752.23 $11,752.23 +$837.20
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $45.26 260 $11,752.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $47.74 260 $12,396.19 $12,396.19 +$643.96
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:30am ET $44.86 276 $12,396.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.17 276 $12,205.50 $12,205.50 $-190.69
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $40.34 303 $12,205.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $39.68 303 $12,005.81 $12,005.81 $-199.69
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $33.69 356 $12,005.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.82 356 $12,766.75 $12,766.75 +$760.94
(+6.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $37.12 344 $12,766.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $39.58 344 $13,614.66 $13,614.66 +$847.91
(+6.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $52.19 261 $13,614.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $51.01 261 $13,305.69 $13,305.69 $-308.97
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $51.59 258 $13,305.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $52.35 258 $13,500.41 $13,500.41 +$194.72
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.97 276 $13,500.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.85 276 $13,743.04 $13,743.04 +$242.63
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $47.95 287 $13,743.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.10 287 $13,499.42 $13,499.42 $-243.62
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $47.17 286 $13,499.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.32 286 $14,114.72 $14,114.72 +$615.30
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $51.96 272 $14,114.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.55 272 $14,546.64 $14,546.64 +$431.92
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,546.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,546.64
Total Return: +45.47%
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