Compendium › Macro Monday › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 21 trades executed

+297.30%
2 Years Return
$37,994.99
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$9,563.27
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 87.5/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 62.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,563.27
Current Value
$37,994.99
Total P&L
$28,431.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
14 / 6
Best Trade
+33.45%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
+7.60%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$796,242.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$28,431.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$28,431.72
Gross Return
+297.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+297.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $9,563.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $14.36 666 $9,563.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $17.13 666 $11,404.67 $11,404.67 +$1,841.40
(+19.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 10:55am ET $19.21 594 $11,404.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $20.63 594 $12,250.89 $12,250.89 +$846.22
(+7.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $39.38 311 $12,250.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $45.56 311 $14,173.45 $14,173.45 +$1,922.56
(+15.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $49.57 286 $14,173.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $54.21 286 $15,500.16 $15,500.16 +$1,326.71
(+9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET $51.69 300 $15,500.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $48.82 300 $14,639.54 $14,639.54 $-860.62
(-5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 10:30am ET $50.57 289 $14,639.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $48.11 289 $13,927.39 $13,927.39 $-712.15
(-4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $40.10 347 $13,927.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $38.91 347 $13,514.05 $13,514.05 $-413.34
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $39.48 342 $13,514.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $42.68 342 $14,611.26 $14,611.26 +$1,097.21
(+8.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $31.63 462 $14,611.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $42.21 462 $19,498.62 $19,498.62 +$4,887.36
(+33.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET $40.62 480 $19,498.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.65 480 $21,433.12 $21,433.12 +$1,934.50
(+9.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 10:40am ET $49.67 432 $21,433.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $49.12 432 $21,195.79 $21,195.79 $-237.33
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $46.84 453 $21,195.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $50.00 453 $22,625.74 $22,625.74 +$1,429.95
(+6.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.15 293 $22,625.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $82.75 293 $24,268.05 $24,268.05 +$1,642.31
(+7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:50am ET $139.80 174 $24,268.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $134.17 174 $23,290.73 $23,290.73 $-977.32
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 196 $23,290.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $118.17 196 $23,187.36 $23,187.36 $-103.37
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.31 312 $23,187.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.36 312 $24,139.07 $24,139.07 +$951.71
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 328 $24,139.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.16 328 $26,988.72 $26,988.72 +$2,849.65
(+11.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 356 $26,988.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.80 356 $28,030.99 $28,030.99 +$1,042.27
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $66.24 423 $28,030.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.10 423 $29,662.32 $29,662.32 +$1,631.33
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 435 $29,662.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.36 435 $37,994.99 $37,994.99 +$8,332.67
(+28.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $37,994.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$27,994.99
Total Return: +279.95%
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