Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:36:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 42.9/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,741.28
Current Value
$11,563.22
Total P&L
$1,821.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,057.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,821.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,821.94
Gross Return
+18.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $9,741.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $196.96 49 $9,741.28
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $206.86 49 $10,230.92 $10,230.92 +$489.64
(+5.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET $214.21 48 $10,230.92
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $224.47 48 $10,720.97 $10,720.97 +$490.05
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $221.79 48 $10,720.97
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $228.67 48 $11,053.54 $11,053.54 +$332.57
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET $215.52 51 $11,053.54
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $212.40 51 $10,893.52 $10,893.52 $-160.02
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $203.33 54 $10,893.52
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $198.08 54 $10,612.25 $10,612.25 $-281.27
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $197.07 54 $10,612.25
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $189.58 54 $10,208.91 $10,208.91 $-403.34
(-3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $174.87 58 $10,208.91
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $181.81 58 $10,614.07 $10,614.07 +$405.16
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $184.39 58 $10,614.07
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $194.05 58 $11,170.13 $11,170.13 +$556.06
(+5.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $198.57 56 $11,170.13
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $201.23 56 $11,319.76 $11,319.76 +$149.63
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 43 $11,319.76
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.09 43 $11,552.47 $11,552.47 +$232.71
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 47 $11,552.47
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.47 47 $11,563.22 $11,563.22 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,563.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,563.22
Total Return: +15.63%
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