Compendium › Macro Monday › V
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
V
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 13:45:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+4.73%
2 Years Return
$10,473.29
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
62.1/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 57.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
48,059
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,473.29
Total P&L
$473.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+7.18%
Worst Trade
-3.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$142,081.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$473.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$473.29
Gross Return
+4.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $261.40 38 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $259.88 38 $9,941.85 $9,941.85 $-58.15
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $339.83 29 $9,941.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $328.62 29 $9,613.75 $9,613.75 $-328.10
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET $338.21 28 $9,613.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $339.29 28 $9,644.45 $9,644.45 +$30.70
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $302.75 32 $9,644.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $324.49 32 $10,337.00 $10,337.00 +$692.55
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $326.70 32 $10,337.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $335.80 32 $10,624.93 $10,624.93 +$287.93
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $316.08 34 $10,624.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.59 34 $10,641.91 $10,641.91 +$16.98
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $311.78 34 $10,641.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $306.84 34 $10,473.29 $10,473.29 $-168.62
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,473.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$473.29
Total Return: +4.73%
Back to Macro Monday