Compendium › Macro Monday › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 14:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

+5.70%
2 Years Return
$10,570.44
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:58:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
23.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,749
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,570.44
Total P&L
$570.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+10.82%
Worst Trade
-4.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,986.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$570.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$570.44
Gross Return
+5.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $67.38 148 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $66.93 148 $9,933.21 $9,933.21 $-66.79
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $92.25 108 $9,933.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $91.33 108 $9,833.61 $9,833.61 $-99.60
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET $93.91 105 $9,833.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.21 105 $10,074.44 $10,074.44 +$240.83
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 10:55am ET $98.15 103 $10,074.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $95.98 103 $9,851.70 $9,851.70 $-222.74
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $89.63 110 $9,851.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $85.17 110 $9,361.92 $9,361.92 $-489.78
(-5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $80.86 116 $9,361.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $89.61 116 $10,374.99 $10,374.99 +$1,013.07
(+10.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 10:05am ET $92.40 112 $10,374.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $94.96 112 $10,661.87 $10,661.87 +$286.88
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $125.24 85 $10,661.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.71 85 $10,616.32 $10,616.32 $-45.55
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $128.43 83 $10,616.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.88 83 $10,570.44 $10,570.44 $-45.88
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,570.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$570.44
Total Return: +5.70%
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