Compendium › Macro Monday › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 5 trades in period

+7.30%
Year to Date Return
$11,684.46
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,889.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 30.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,842
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
85 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,889.81
Current Value
$11,684.46
Period P&L
$794.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+8.96%
Worst Trade
-2.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.49%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,100.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$794.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$794.65
Gross Return
+7.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 85 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,889.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $488.30 22 $10,889.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.50 22 $10,671.15 $10,671.15 $-218.66
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $451.01 24 $10,671.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $491.41 24 $11,627.04 $11,627.04 +$955.89
(+9.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $452.81 26 $11,627.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.47 26 $11,695.34 $11,695.34 +$68.30
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $439.21 27 $11,695.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $442.00 27 $11,769.63 $11,769.63 +$74.29
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $427.01 28 $11,769.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.92 28 $11,684.46 $11,684.46 $-85.17
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,684.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,684.46
Total Return: +16.84%
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