Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:38:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 9.5/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 6.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,143.53
Current Value
$9,535.31
Total P&L
$-608.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+4.87%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,295.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-608.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-608.22
Gross Return
-6.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,143.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $186.34 54 $10,143.53
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $190.33 54 $10,360.73 $10,360.73 +$217.20
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $179.00 58 $10,360.73
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $174.07 58 $10,075.66 $10,075.66 $-285.07
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $172.12 59 $10,075.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.50 59 $10,566.52 $10,566.52 +$490.86
(+4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $196.51 54 $10,566.52
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $185.57 54 $9,978.27 $9,978.27 $-588.25
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $234.78 43 $9,978.27
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $227.70 43 $9,677.37 $9,677.37 $-300.90
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $232.40 42 $9,677.37
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.62 42 $9,644.68 $9,644.68 $-32.69
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 42 $9,644.68
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 42 $9,562.80 $9,562.80 $-81.88
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $221.35 43 $9,562.80
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.76 43 $8,889.48 $8,889.48 $-673.32
(-7.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $204.80 43 $8,889.48
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.93 43 $9,155.56 $9,155.56 +$266.08
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $206.97 44 $9,155.56
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.43 44 $9,397.09 $9,397.09 +$241.53
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $206.00 46 $9,397.09
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.03 46 $9,535.31 $9,535.31 +$138.22
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,535.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-464.69
Total Return: -4.65%
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