Compendium › Macro Monday › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

+0.14%
2 Years Return
$10,014.36
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:40:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
0.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,014.36
Total P&L
$14.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-2.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,013.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$14.36
Gross Return
+0.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $325.77 31 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $324.79 31 $9,970.07 $9,970.07 $-29.93
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 9:35am ET $323.09 31 $9,970.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 3:55pm ET $321.35 31 $9,916.38 $9,916.38 $-53.69
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $286.73 35 $9,916.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $281.37 35 $9,731.01 $9,731.01 $-185.37
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:45am ET $277.23 35 $9,731.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $271.95 35 $9,545.68 $9,545.68 $-185.33
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:55am ET $286.42 33 $9,545.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $279.13 33 $9,302.72 $9,302.72 $-242.96
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $336.59 28 $9,302.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $345.46 28 $9,548.01 $9,548.01 +$245.29
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 26 $9,548.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 26 $9,580.26 $9,580.26 +$32.25
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $344.11 28 $9,580.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.79 28 $9,905.44 $9,905.44 +$325.18
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 29 $9,905.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.63 29 $10,014.36 $10,014.36 +$108.92
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,014.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$14.36
Total Return: +0.14%
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